Dorense vs Confiança – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Jussimar ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Guilherme Nunes ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Wendel ,

Chances of winning


Dorense
18.2%
Draw
27.7%
Confiança
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.1% 21.6% 66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 21.1% 67.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dorense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorense's performance.
  • Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Confiança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Confiança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dorense - Confiança Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.49
    (7.54)
    3.61
    (4.22)
    1.85
    (1.37)
    -0.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Dorense - Confiança?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Confiança (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Confiança is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorense won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Dorense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Confiança is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dorense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dorense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dorense - Confiança were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Dorense - Confiança 2:1
    21.01.2024 Dorense - Confiança 0:1
    27.02.2023 Confiança - Dorense 3:2
    Latest results of Dorense
    07.02.2026 Sergipe - Dorense 2:1
    04.02.2026 Itabaiana - Dorense 3:0
    31.01.2026 Dorense - Falcon 1:0
    25.01.2026 Dorense - Lagarto 1:5
    Latest results of Confiança
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sergipe (1)Confianca (4)

    3rd place
    2Itabaiana (2)America SE (6)