Sergipe vs Confiança – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Round 5

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 82', 1 - 0, Juliano Fabro ,

Chances of winning


Sergipe
22.5%
Draw
30.7%
Confiança
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 28.9% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 27.4% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sergipe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Sergipe - Confiança Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.05
    (3.42)
    2.97
    (3.15)
    1.95
    (2.06)
    9.6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Confiança might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sergipe won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - Confiança were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Confiança - Sergipe 2:1
    13.04.2024 Confiança - Sergipe 1:0
    10.04.2024 Sergipe - Confiança 1:1
    04.02.2024 Sergipe - Confiança 2:1
    12.02.2023 Confiança - Sergipe 1:0
    Latest results of Sergipe
    24.01.2026 Falcon - Sergipe 0:2
    21.01.2026 Itabaiana - Sergipe 0:1
    30.12.2025 Sergipe - Coruripe 0:1
    Latest results of Confiança
    21.01.2026 Confiança - Falcon 0:0
    18.01.2026 Confiança - Lagarto 2:2
    04.01.2026 Decisão - Confiança 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)2 : 1