Sergipe vs Confiança – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilTV Record

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
45
Shots on target
14
Corner kicks
16
Yellow cards
55
Red cards
10
Total shots
45
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
31
Corner kicks
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Wilker V. 🟨,
  • 24', Sassa 🟨,
  • 24', Ze Artur 🟨,
  • 27', Victor Massaia 🟨,
  • 38', Danielzinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Andrey Quintino , Gustavo Nicola ,
  • 46', Guilherme Nunes , Iago ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Paulo Henrique ,
  • 55', Fabricio , Wendel ,
  • 58', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
  • 67', Ze Artur , Venicius ,
  • 71', Lucas Mineiro , Betinho ,
  • 78', Paulo Henrique , Joao Victor ,
  • 78', Juliano Fabro , Felipe Valdivia ,
  • 81', Danielzinho , Maikon Aquino ,
  • 83', Guilherme Nunes 🟨,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 88', Maikon Aquino 🟨,
  • 90+2', Carioca 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sergipe
31.2%
Draw
33.1%
Confiança
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 29.3% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 29.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Sergipe - Confiança Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.86)
    2.76
    (3.1)
    2.56
    (2.34)
    9.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 1.
    • Sergipe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Confiança is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sergipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Confiança has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sergipe won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - Confiança were as follows:
    07.03.2026 Confiança - Sergipe 1:1
    31.01.2026 Sergipe - Confiança 1:0
    09.02.2025 Confiança - Sergipe 2:1
    13.04.2024 Confiança - Sergipe 1:0
    10.04.2024 Sergipe - Confiança 1:1
    Latest results of Sergipe
    07.03.2026 Confiança - Sergipe 1:1
    14.02.2026 Lagarto - Sergipe 1:0
    Latest results of Confiança
    11.03.2026 Confiança - Tombense 2:0
    07.03.2026 Confiança - Sergipe 1:1
    28.02.2026 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:2
    25.02.2026 Confiança - Itabaiana 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sergipe (1)Confianca (4)1 : 0, 1 : 1

    3rd place
    2Itabaiana (2)America SE (6)1 : 0