Result
1:0
15/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Eduardo Moura 🟨,
- 37', Gabriel Terra 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gabriel Terra ↓, Jean Pyerre ↑,
- 60', Cristiano ↓, Valber Junior ↑,
- 60', Felipe Marques ↓, Gabryel Martins ↑,
- 61', Eduardo Moura ↓, Renilson ↑,
- 61', Valdir Junior ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
- 61', Thiago Santos ↓, Nicholas ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, Roger ⚽,
- 73', Valdo 🟨,
- 73', Lucas Ramos 🟨,
- 79', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 80', Valber Junior ↓, Maxuel Cassio ↑,
- 82', Breiner C. ↓, Rafinha ↑,
- 82', Vitinho ↓, Ronald Camarao ↑,
- 87', Lucas Ramos ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 90+3', Willian Gomes 🟨,
- 90+5', Gabryel Martins 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ypiranga
42.2% | Draw
31.4% | Confiança
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ypiranga's form might have worsened.Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Confiança's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ypiranga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Confiança, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ypiranga - Confiança Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.76) |
2.9 ↓
(3.27) |
3.46 ↓
(4.38) |
9.7%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ypiranga - Confiança?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Confiança will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- Ypiranga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Confiança's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Confiança may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ypiranga is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Ypiranga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ypiranga won against Confiança?
Ypiranga has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Confiança won against Ypiranga?
Confiança has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ypiranga - Confiança were as follows:
07.07.2024
Confiança
-
Ypiranga
2:0
01.07.2023
Confiança
-
Ypiranga
1:1
Latest results of Ypiranga
Latest results of Confiança
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 2 | Ponte Preta | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 27 |
| 3 | Nautico | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:6 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Londrina | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Brusque | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Ypiranga FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 12:15 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | CSA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Floresta EC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Ituano | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Guarani | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Maringa FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 | ABC | 15 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 16:18 | -2 | 17 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 16 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Confianca | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 19 | Retro | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6:18 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
