Conil vs Castilleja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
06/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 13

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Paez A. ,
  • 38', Albi 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 0 - 2, ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, ,
  • 81', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Conil
55.2%
Draw
26.9%
Castilleja
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 26.4% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 25% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Castilleja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Conil - Castilleja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.79)
    3.39
    (3.45)
    5.11
    (4)
    9.6%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Conil is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Castilleja has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Conil is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Conil won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Conil
    23.11.2025 Coria CF - Conil 0:1
    15.11.2025 Conil - Ceuta B 0:2
    09.11.2025 Córdoba B - Conil 1:1
    02.11.2025 Conil - Chiclana 2:0
    26.10.2025 Conil - Tomares 2:0
    Latest results of Castilleja
    16.11.2025 Utrera - Castilleja 2:2
    09.11.2025 Castilleja - Dos Hermanas 1:2
    02.11.2025 Cadiz CF B - Castilleja 7:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad de Lucena24146443:172648
    2Linense231010336:211540
    3Dos Hermanas24124844:311340
    4Bollullos22116528:181039
    5Atletico Central24116728:24439
    6San Roque23108530:201038
    7Ceuta B23106727:27036
    8Cadiz CF B24106833:28536
    9Pozoblanco2398629:24535
    10Conil2497828:30-234
    11Chiclana2387828:32-431
    12Sevilla FC C23741224:30-625
    13Atl. Onubense23671023:29-625
    14Cordoba B23661128:34-624
    15Tomares UD23661120:30-1024
    16CD Utrera23641326:38-1222
    17Castilleja CF23471217:35-1819
    18Coria C.F23361415:39-2415

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