Conil vs Castilleja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
06/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 13

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Paez A. ,
  • 38', Albi 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 0 - 2, ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, ,
  • 81', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Conil
55.2%
Draw
26.9%
Castilleja
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 26.4% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 25% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Castilleja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Conil - Castilleja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.79)
    3.39
    (3.45)
    5.11
    (4)
    9.6%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Conil is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Castilleja has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Conil is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Conil won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Conil
    23.11.2025 Coria CF - Conil 0:1
    15.11.2025 Conil - Ceuta B 0:2
    09.11.2025 Córdoba B - Conil 1:1
    02.11.2025 Conil - Chiclana 2:0
    26.10.2025 Conil - Tomares 2:0
    Latest results of Castilleja
    16.11.2025 Utrera - Castilleja 2:2
    09.11.2025 Castilleja - Dos Hermanas 1:2
    02.11.2025 Cadiz CF B - Castilleja 7:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad de Lucena27167452:203255
    2Dos Hermanas27154854:322249
    3Linense271112440:241645
    4Bollullos26129534:221245
    5Cadiz CF B27127842:311143
    6San Roque271011636:28841
    7Atletico Central27118828:25341
    8Conil27117933:34-140
    9Pozoblanco27109835:32339
    10Ceuta B27108929:34-538
    11Chiclana2799933:37-436
    12Atl. Onubense26871127:32-531
    13Sevilla FC C27941430:35-531
    14Cordoba B26771231:37-628
    15Tomares UD26771224:34-1028
    16CD Utrera26761331:42-1127
    17Castilleja CF26471520:52-3219
    18Coria C.F27371717:45-2816

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