Conil vs Ciudad de Lucena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Conil - Ciudad de Lucena
Result
1:2
22/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, ,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Vela Resina I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 84', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Conil
23.5%
Draw
31%
Ciudad de Lucena
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.2% 27.5% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7% 26.8% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ciudad de Lucena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Lucena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Conil - Ciudad de Lucena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.89
    (4.29)
    2.95
    (3.3)
    2.01
    (1.77)
    9.3%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Conil won 1.
    • Conil is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ciudad de Lucena is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Ciudad de Lucena is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Conil won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3:12 (average 0.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Conil won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Conil - Ciudad de Lucena were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Ciudad de Lucena - Conil 2:0
    28.01.2024 Ciudad de Lucena - Conil 2:0
    17.09.2023 Conil - Ciudad de Lucena 0:1
    12.03.2023 Ciudad de Lucena - Conil 1:0
    20.11.2022 Conil - Ciudad de Lucena 1:0
    Latest results of Conil
    15.03.2025 Ceuta B - Conil 2:0
    09.03.2025 La Palma - Conil 2:1
    02.03.2025 Conil - Utrera 1:1
    23.02.2025 San Roque de Lepe - Conil 5:1
    16.02.2025 Conil - Bollullos 2:0
    Latest results of Ciudad de Lucena
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2