Result
3:2
01/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | WebDirecto |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 71', 🟥,
- 87', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Conil
40.1% | Draw
29.9% | Ciudad de Lucena
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Conil's performance.Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ciudad de Lucena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Conil that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+15.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Lucena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Conil - Ciudad de Lucena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(3.35) |
3.93 ↑
(3.3) |
3.93 ↑
(2.02) |
-14.9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Conil won 0.
- Conil has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ciudad de Lucena is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ciudad de Lucena might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Conil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Conil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Conil won against Ciudad de Lucena?
Conil has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ciudad de Lucena won against Conil?
Ciudad de Lucena has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Conil - Ciudad de Lucena were as follows:
21.09.2025
Ciudad de Lucena
-
Conil
4:1
22.03.2025
Conil
-
Ciudad de Lucena
1:2
10.11.2024
Ciudad de Lucena
-
Conil
2:0
28.01.2024
Ciudad de Lucena
-
Conil
2:0
17.09.2023
Conil
-
Ciudad de Lucena
0:1
Latest results of Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 67:24 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 68:37 | 31 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Central | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 54 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | Cadiz CF B | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 49:36 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Conil | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 43:42 | 1 | 52 |
| 7 | Ceuta B | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 49 |
| 8 | Linense | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
| 9 | Chiclana | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cordoba B | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 42:42 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 | San Roque | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 43 |
| 12 | Pozoblanco | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 13 | CD Utrera | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 41 |
| 14 | Atl. Onubense | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 34:42 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC C | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Tomares UD | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 28:60 | -32 | 27 |
| 18 | Coria C.F | 33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 22:59 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
