Result
11/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Cardiff Rugby
58.9% | Draw
4.4% | Connacht
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Cardiff Rugby - Connacht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.52) |
20.5 ↑
(20) |
2.53 ↓
(2.66) |
9.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 0.
- Connacht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cardiff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 386:456. (average 19.3:22.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 188:161. (average 20.9:17.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Rugby won against Connacht?
Cardiff Rugby has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Cardiff Rugby?
Connacht has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Rugby - Connacht were as follows:
05.04.2025
Connacht
-
Cardiff Rugby
35:20
15.02.2025
Connacht
-
Cardiff Rugby
24:19
17.01.2025
Cardiff Rugby
-
Connacht
19:28
17.02.2024
Cardiff Rugby
-
Connacht
12:16
15.04.2023
Connacht
-
Cardiff Rugby
38:19
Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
Latest results of Connacht
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stormers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 95:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Munster | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 77:60 | 13 |
| 3 | Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 92:71 | 10 |
| 4 | Zebre | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 53:48 | 9 |
| 5 | Cardiff Rugby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 53:43 | 7 |
| 6 | Glasgow Warriors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 49:35 | 6 |
| 7 | Ulster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 42:21 | 5 |
| 8 | Connacht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:15 | 5 |
| 9 | Benetton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31:40 | 4 |
| 10 | Edinburgh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 47:51 | 3 |
| 11 | Sharks | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 36:52 | 2 |
| 12 | Dragons | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 38:59 | 2 |
| 13 | Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40:55 | 1 |
| 14 | Ospreys | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 50:79 | 1 |
| 15 | Leinster | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31:74 | 1 |
| 16 | Scarlets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:68 | 0 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
