Cardiff Rugby vs Connacht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
14:8
11/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Variety 1
irelandIrelandTG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, URC

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 3)
  • 2nd Half (7 - 5)

Chances of winning


Cardiff Rugby
58.1%
Draw
4.3%
Connacht
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 4.6% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Cardiff Rugby - Connacht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.52)
    21.9
    (20)
    2.47
    (2.66)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 0.
    • Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cardiff might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 386:456. (average 19.3:22.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 188:161. (average 20.9:17.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Rugby - Connacht were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 35:20
    15.02.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 24:19
    17.01.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Connacht 19:28
    17.02.2024 Cardiff Rugby - Connacht 12:16
    15.04.2023 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 38:19
    Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
    04.10.2025 Munster - Cardiff Rugby 23:20
    27.09.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Lions 33:20
    16.05.2025 Stormers - Cardiff Rugby 34:24
    10.05.2025 Blue Bulls - Cardiff Rugby 45:21
    25.04.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Munster 26:21
    Latest results of Connacht
    04.10.2025 Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets Postponed
    27.09.2025 Connacht - Benetton Treviso 26:15
    17.05.2025 Zebre - Connacht 12:22
    10.05.2025 Connacht - Edinburgh 21:31
    26.04.2025 Lions - Connacht 26:7
    United Rugby Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Glasgow Warriors12903320:17045
    2Leinster12804308:24241
    3Cardiff Rugby12804240:21040
    4Munster12804248:22539
    5Stormers11803284:18536
    6Ulster11704312:22936
    7Lions12615325:34233
    8Bulls11605304:27030
    9Ospreys12525260:27329
    10Connacht11407258:27925
    11Sharks12417256:33324
    12Edinburgh11407219:21323
    13Benetton12426216:28123
    14Dragons12237227:28620
    15Scarlets11317192:26316
    16Zebre122010197:36512

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