Cardiff Rugby vs Connacht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
14:8
11/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Variety 1
irelandIrelandTG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, URC

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 3)
  • 2nd Half (7 - 5)

Chances of winning


Cardiff Rugby
58.1%
Draw
4.3%
Connacht
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 4.6% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Cardiff Rugby - Connacht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.52)
    21.9
    (20)
    2.47
    (2.66)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 0.
    • Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cardiff might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 386:456. (average 19.3:22.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 188:161. (average 20.9:17.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Rugby - Connacht were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 35:20
    15.02.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 24:19
    17.01.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Connacht 19:28
    17.02.2024 Cardiff Rugby - Connacht 12:16
    15.04.2023 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 38:19
    Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
    04.10.2025 Munster - Cardiff Rugby 23:20
    27.09.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Lions 33:20
    16.05.2025 Stormers - Cardiff Rugby 34:24
    10.05.2025 Blue Bulls - Cardiff Rugby 45:21
    25.04.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Munster 26:21
    Latest results of Connacht
    27.09.2025 Connacht - Benetton Treviso 26:15
    17.05.2025 Zebre - Connacht 12:22
    10.05.2025 Connacht - Edinburgh 21:31
    26.04.2025 Lions - Connacht 26:7
    19.04.2025 Stormers - Connacht 34:29
    United Rugby Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Glasgow Warriors151104401:25155
    2Stormers151104402:27251
    3Leinster151005390:32051
    4Lions15915475:39748
    5Ulster15906420:31547
    6Munster15906324:31946
    7Cardiff Rugby15906290:29546
    8Bulls15906444:34745
    9Connacht15807369:35044
    10Ospreys15627314:34234
    11Sharks15618339:36934
    12Edinburgh155010300:37028
    13Benetton15528272:37628
    14Scarlets154110285:37523
    15Dragons152310281:40421
    16Zebre152013256:46014

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