Connor Thomson vs Yanki Erel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Monastir 8 Men Connor Thomson - Yanki Erel
Result
2:0
14/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 8, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
64

Chances of winning


Connor Thomson
23.9%
Yanki Erel
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 72.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Connor Thomson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Connor Thomson's form might have worsened.
  • Yanki Erel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yanki Erel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connor Thomson than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Connor Thomson - Yanki Erel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.88
    (3.14)

    1.22
    (1.32)
    7.7%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Thomson is ranked ATP: 1274. Erel is ranked ATP: 405.
    • Recent form of Thomson has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Erel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Erel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Erel is the team to beat.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Connor Thomson
    Latest results of Yanki Erel
    13.09.2025 Miomir Kecmanovic - Yanki Erel Canceled
    12.09.2025 Hamad Medjedovic - Yanki Erel Erel Y. retired
    06.09.2025 Yanki Erel - Max Basing Erel Y. retired
    05.09.2025 Yanki Erel - Koki Matsuda 2:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Erhard M. (1)Johnson-Hauldren J.2 : 0
    2Vasilev D.Trifi A.0 : 2
    3Petak D.Makhlouf N.1 : 2
    4McLennaghan W.Loge J. (7)0 : 2
    5Paroulek T. (4)Wiedenmann L.0 : 2
    6Molder M.Shepp A.0 : 2
    7Ostapenkov D.Nortey I.2 : 1
    8Aytekin M.Donnet E. (5)0 : 2
    9Demanet E. (8)Maxted L.0 : 2
    10Lumsden E.Hannestad B.2 : 0
    11Nagoudi A.Castagnola L.0 : 2
    12Thomson C.Erel Y. (3)2 : 0
    13Vanshelboim E. (6)Gronfeldt-Sorensen C.2 : 1
    14Fabre A.Robert N.0 : 2
    15Misrahi J.Martin T.0 : 2
    16Kudriashov I.Pereira T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Erhard M. (1)Trifi A.2 : 0
    2Makhlouf N.Loge J. (7)0 : 2
    3Wiedenmann L.Shepp A.2 : 0
    4Ostapenkov D.Donnet E. (5)0 : 2
    5Maxted L.Lumsden E.2 : 0
    6Castagnola L.Thomson C.1 : 2
    7Vanshelboim E. (6)Robert N.2 : 0
    8Martin T.Pereira T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Erhard M. (1)Loge J. (7)2 : 1
    2Wiedenmann L.Donnet E. (5)0 : 2
    3Maxted L. (WO.)Thomson C.
    4Vanshelboim E. (6)Pereira T. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Erhard M. (1)Donnet E. (5)0 : 2
    2Maxted L.Vanshelboim E. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Donnet E. (5)Maxted L.1 : 2