Copenhagen vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Copenhagen - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
1:2
03/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 12
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 12
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.61
Ball Possession
68%32%
Goal Attempts
195
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
111
Blocked Shots
41
Free Kicks
1518
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
41
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Fouls
1313
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
723321
Completed Passes
657270
Crosses Completed
103

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Hatzidiakos P. , Lopez M. (A),
  • 26', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 37', Delaney T. , Froholdt V. ,
  • 40', Hansen K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Imaz J. , Romanczuk T. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Pululu A. , Moutinho J. (A),
  • 54', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
  • 55', Hansen K. , Churlinov D. ,
  • 55', Listkowski M. , Costa Silva T. ,
  • 63', Villar Miki , Kovacik P. ,
  • 66', Sacek M. 🟨,
  • 69', Mattsson M. , Cornelius A. ,
  • 78', Costa Silva T. 🟨,
  • 79', Cornelius A. 🟨,
  • 85', Nguiamba A. , Kubicki J. ,
  • 86', Abramowicz S. 🟨,
  • 86', Claesson V. , Onugkha G. ,
  • 86', Achouri E. , Hojer O. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 2, Churlinov D. , Pululu A. (A),

Chances of winning


Copenhagen
72.3%
Draw
17%
Jagiellonia Białystok
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 22% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 21.5% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Copenhagen's performance.
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Copenhagen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Copenhagen - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.55)
    5.57
    (4.22)
    8.69
    (5.17)
    5.8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Copenhagen - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Copenhagen will win (votes: 38 - 90.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 2 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Copenhagen: 81.6%99.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Copenhagen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Jagiellonia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Jagiellonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Copenhagen is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Copenhagen: Bardghji R. (Knee Injury) Boilesen N. (Knee Injury) Falk R. (Knee Injury) Garananga M. (Injury) Larsson J. (Injury) Meling B. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Churlinov D. (Injury) Nene (Injury) Wojdakowski D. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Copenhagen
    26.09.2024 HB Køge - Copenhagen 0:2
    23.09.2024 Copenhagen - Aalborg BK 2:0
    14.09.2024 Midtjylland - Copenhagen 2:1
    05.09.2024 Copenhagen - Landskrona 1:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

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