Copenhagen vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Copenhagen - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
1:2
03/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 12
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 12
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.61
Ball Possession
68%32%
Goal Attempts
195
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
111
Blocked Shots
41
Free Kicks
1518
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
41
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Fouls
1313
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
723321
Completed Passes
657270
Crosses Completed
103

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Hatzidiakos P. , Lopez M. (A),
  • 26', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 37', Delaney T. , Froholdt V. ,
  • 40', Hansen K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Imaz J. , Romanczuk T. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Pululu A. , Moutinho J. (A),
  • 54', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
  • 55', Hansen K. , Churlinov D. ,
  • 55', Listkowski M. , Costa Silva T. ,
  • 63', Villar Miki , Kovacik P. ,
  • 66', Sacek M. 🟨,
  • 69', Mattsson M. , Cornelius A. ,
  • 78', Costa Silva T. 🟨,
  • 79', Cornelius A. 🟨,
  • 85', Nguiamba A. , Kubicki J. ,
  • 86', Abramowicz S. 🟨,
  • 86', Claesson V. , Onugkha G. ,
  • 86', Achouri E. , Hojer O. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 2, Churlinov D. , Pululu A. (A),

Chances of winning


Copenhagen
72.3%
Draw
17%
Jagiellonia Białystok
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 22% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 21.5% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Copenhagen's performance.
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Copenhagen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Copenhagen - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.55)
    5.57
    (4.22)
    8.69
    (5.17)
    5.8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Copenhagen - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Copenhagen will win (votes: 38 - 90.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 2 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Copenhagen: 81.6%99.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Copenhagen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Jagiellonia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Jagiellonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Copenhagen is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Copenhagen: Bardghji R. (Knee Injury) Boilesen N. (Knee Injury) Falk R. (Knee Injury) Garananga M. (Injury) Larsson J. (Injury) Meling B. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Churlinov D. (Injury) Nene (Injury) Wojdakowski D. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Copenhagen
    26.09.2024 HB Køge - Copenhagen 0:2
    23.09.2024 Copenhagen - Aalborg BK 2:0
    14.09.2024 Midtjylland - Copenhagen 2:1
    05.09.2024 Copenhagen - Landskrona 1:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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