Result
0:3
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 17
- Referee: Flores D. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (422/504) | 77% (253/329) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (422/504) | 77% (253/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 46% (28/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (52/89) | 70% (78/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 56% (14/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 32', 0 - 1, Chandia B. ⚽, Palavecino M. (A),
- 38', 0 - 2, Cordero S. ⚽,
- 39', Ampuero B. 🟨,
- 45+3', Gonzalez D. 🟥,
- 45+3', Palavecino M. 🟨,
- 45+5', Cabrera B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Escobar D. ↓, Asta-Buruaga T. ↑,
- 46', Bello E. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 46', Mundaca Barraza M. A. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
- 58', Chandia B. ↓, Azocar Machuca A. E. ↑,
- 60', Montes C. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
- 60', Rossel J. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 66', Romero L. 🟨,
- 74', Cordero S. ↓, Camargo A. ↑,
- 74', Waterman C. ↓, Johansen N. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 3, Johansen N. ⚽,
- 84', Bernedo V. 🟨,
- 86', Corral D. 🟨,
- 87', 🟨,
- 87', Asta-Buruaga T. 🟨,
- 87', Valencia D. ↓, Cerda A. ↑,
- 88', Palavecino M. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica
35.1% | Draw
31.1% | Coquimbo Unido
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica's form might have worsened.Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.27) |
3.02 ↓
(3.25) |
2.78 ↓
(3.09) |
6.7%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Coquimbo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.
- Uni Católica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Coquimbo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Coquimbo Unido?
Universidad Católica has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coquimbo Unido won against Universidad Católica?
Coquimbo Unido has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido were as follows:
22.02.2025
Coquimbo Unido
-
Universidad Católica
1:0
09.11.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Coquimbo Unido
1:2
02.06.2024
Coquimbo Unido
-
Universidad Católica
2:0
05.03.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Coquimbo Unido
0:2
24.01.2024
Coquimbo Unido
-
Universidad Católica
0:1
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Latest results of Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 44:22 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23:45 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
