Corentin Moutet vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Washington Corentin Moutet - Alex De Minaur
Result
0:2
26/07/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
55%59%
1st Serve Points Won
47% (17/36)71% (24/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (14/30)50% (12/24)
Break Points Saved
29% (2/7)60% (3/5)
Average 1st Serve Speed
169 km/h189 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
141 km/h160 km/h
1st Return Points Won
29% (10/34)53% (19/36)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (12/24)53% (16/30)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)71% (5/7)
Winners
1320
Unforced Errors
2733
Net Points Won
38% (3/8)81% (17/21)
Service Points Won
47% (31/66)62% (36/58)
Return Points Won
38% (22/58)53% (35/66)
Total Points Won
43% (53/124)57% (71/124)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (5/10)78% (7/9)
Return Games Won
22% (2/9)50% (5/10)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Corentin Moutet
20.2%
Alex De Minaur
79.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Moutet's form might have worsened.
  • Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Corentin Moutet - Alex De Minaur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.68
    (2.86)

    1.2
    (1.35)
    5%
    (9%)
    What is the prediction for Corentin Moutet - Alex De Minaur?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Moutet will win (votes: 3 - 20%). De Minaur will win (votes: 12 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 59.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moutet is ranked ATP: 59. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 13.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, De Minaur is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that De Minaur will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moutet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corentin Moutet - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
    01.07.2024 Corentin Moutet - Alex De Minaur Canceled
    Latest results of Corentin Moutet
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Vukic A.1 : 2
    3Arnaldi M.Altmaier D.2 : 1
    4ByeSonego L. (16)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Bye
    6Munar J.Giron M.2 : 0
    7Tien L.Nava E. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByeRublev A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Bye
    10McDonald M. (WC)Smith C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12ByeDiallo G. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (9)Bye
    14Nishioka Y.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 1
    15Halys Q.Kovacevic A.1 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (6)
    17Medvedev D. (8)Bye
    18Opelka R.Cassone M. (Q)2 : 1
    19Monfils G.Wu Y. (Q)0 : 2
    20ByePopyrin A. (10)
    21Michelsen A. (13)Bye
    22Evans D. (WC)Bergs Z.2 : 1
    23Zhukayev B. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    24ByeMoutet C. (LL)
    25De Minaur A. (7)Bye
    26Goffin D.Bu Y.0 : 2
    27Svajda Z. (Q)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    28ByeLehecka J. (11)
    29Nakashima B. (14)Bye
    30Quinn E. (WC)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    31Norrie C.Harris B. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Vukic A.2 : 0
    2Arnaldi M.Sonego L. (16)2 : 0
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Munar J.2 : 0
    4Tien L.Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    5Shelton B. (4)McDonald M.2 : 0
    6Marozsan F.Diallo G. (15)0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (9)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    8Kovacevic A.Tiafoe F. (6)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    10Wu Y.Popyrin A. (10)2 : 1
    11Michelsen A. (13)Evans D.0 : 2
    12Muller A.Moutet C.0 : 2
    13De Minaur A. (7)Bu Y.2 : 0
    14Svajda Z.Lehecka J. (11)1 : 2
    15Nakashima B. (14)Quinn E.2 : 0
    16Norrie C.Musetti L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Tien L.2 : 0
    3Shelton B. (4)Diallo G. (15)2 : 0
    4Cobolli F. (9)Tiafoe F. (6)0 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (8)Wu Y.2 : 0
    6Evans D.Moutet C.0 : 2
    7De Minaur A. (7)Lehecka J. (11)2 : 1
    8Nakashima B. (14)Norrie C.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Davidovich Fokina A. (12)1 : 2
    2Shelton B. (4)Tiafoe F. (6)2 : 0
    3Medvedev D. (8)Moutet C.1 : 2
    4De Minaur A. (7)Nakashima B. (14)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Shelton B. (4)2 : 0
    2Moutet C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)De Minaur A. (7)1 : 2