Corentin Moutet vs Karue Sell – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0

20/07/2025 at 11:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

ATP - SINGLES: Washington - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats


Aces
4	3
Double Faults
0	4
1st Serve Percentage
63%	58%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (25/32)	68% (23/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (11/19)	40% (10/25)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)	33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
32% (11/34)	28% (9/32)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (15/25)	42% (8/19)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)	33% (1/3)
Winners
12	11
Unforced Errors
26	40
Net Points Won
100% (3/3)	69% (11/16)
Service Points Won
71% (36/51)	55% (32/58)
Return Points Won
45% (26/58)	29% (15/51)
Total Points Won
57% (62/109)	43% (47/109)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)	56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)	11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)	33% (6/18)

Chances of winning

Corentin Moutet
80.9%

Karue Sell
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corentin Moutet's performance.

Karue Sell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karue Sell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-27.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corentin Moutet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karue Sell than the current prediction. (+27.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karue Sell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Corentin Moutet - Karue Sell Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.9)		5.24 ↑ (1.9)	0% (5.3%)

What is the prediction for Corentin Moutet - Karue Sell?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sell (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Karue Sell will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Moutet is ranked ATP: 62. Sell is ranked ATP: 276.
In recent matches, Moutet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sell has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Moutet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
The players have not played against each other recently.

Latest results of Corentin Moutet

03.07.2025 Grigor Dimitrov - Corentin Moutet 3:1 ✺

01.07.2025 Francisco Comesana - Corentin Moutet 0:3 ✺

27.06.2025 Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen 2:0 ✺

26.06.2025 Learner Tien - Corentin Moutet 0:2 ✺

25.06.2025 Corentin Moutet - Daniel Altmaier 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Karue Sell

15.07.2025 Yosuke Watanuki - Karue Sell 2:0 ✺

09.07.2025 Karue Sell - Yuta Shimizu 1:2 ✺

02.07.2025 Karue Sell - Patrick Kypson 0:2 ✺

01.07.2025 Naoki Nakagawa - Karue Sell 0:2 ✺

26.06.2025 Karue Sell - Rudy Quan 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Bye
2	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Vukic A.	1 : 2
3	Arnaldi M.	Altmaier D.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Sonego L. (16)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Bye
6	Munar J.	Giron M.	2 : 0
7	Tien L.	Nava E. (WC)	2 : 0
8	Bye	Rublev A. (5)
9	Shelton B. (4)	Bye
10	McDonald M. (WC)	Smith C. (Q)	2 : 0
11	Bonzi B.	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Diallo G. (15)
13	Cobolli F. (9)	Bye
14	Nishioka Y.	Brooksby J. (PR)	2 : 1
15	Halys Q.	Kovacevic A.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Tiafoe F. (6)
17	Medvedev D. (8)	Bye
18	Opelka R.	Cassone M. (Q)	2 : 1
19	Monfils G.	Wu Y. (Q)	0 : 2
20	Bye	Popyrin A. (10)
21	Michelsen A. (13)	Bye
22	Evans D. (WC)	Bergs Z.	2 : 1
23	Zhukayev B. (Q)	Muller A.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Moutet C. (LL)
25	De Minaur A. (7)	Bye
26	Goffin D.	Bu Y.	0 : 2
27	Svajda Z. (Q)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (11)
29	Nakashima B. (14)	Bye
30	Quinn E. (WC)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
31	Norrie C.	Harris B. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Vukic A.	2 : 0
2	Arnaldi M.	Sonego L. (16)	2 : 0
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Munar J.	2 : 0
4	Tien L.	Rublev A. (5)	2 : 0
5	Shelton B. (4)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
6	Marozsan F.	Diallo G. (15)	0 : 2
7	Cobolli F. (9)	Nishioka Y.	2 : 0
8	Kovacevic A.	Tiafoe F. (6)	1 : 2
9	Medvedev D. (8)	Opelka R.	2 : 1
10	Wu Y.	Popyrin A. (10)	2 : 1
11	Michelsen A. (13)	Evans D.	0 : 2
12	Muller A.	Moutet C.	0 : 2
13	De Minaur A. (7)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
14	Svajda Z.	Lehecka J. (11)	1 : 2
15	Nakashima B. (14)	Quinn E.	2 : 0
16	Norrie C.	Musetti L. (2)	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Tien L.	2 : 0
3	Shelton B. (4)	Diallo G. (15)	2 : 0
4	Cobolli F. (9)	Tiafoe F. (6)	0 : 2
5	Medvedev D. (8)	Wu Y.	2 : 0
6	Evans D.	Moutet C.	0 : 2
7	De Minaur A. (7)	Lehecka J. (11)	2 : 1
8	Nakashima B. (14)	Norrie C.	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	1 : 2
2	Shelton B. (4)	Tiafoe F. (6)	2 : 0
3	Medvedev D. (8)	Moutet C.	1 : 2
4	De Minaur A. (7)	Nakashima B. (14)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Shelton B. (4)	2 : 0
2	Moutet C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2

Final

1

Davidovich Fokina A. (12)

De Minaur A. (7)

1 : 2

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