Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Paris Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka
Result
2:1
28/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
511
Double Faults
59
1st Serve Percentage
56%65%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (30/40)78% (45/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
72% (23/32)39% (12/31)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
22% (13/58)25% (10/40)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (19/31)28% (9/32)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
73% (57/78)63% (57/90)
Return Points Won
37% (33/90)27% (21/78)
Total Points Won
54% (90/168)46% (78/168)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
93% (13/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)7% (1/14)
Total Games Won
57% (16/28)43% (12/28)

Chances of winning


Corentin Moutet
63.7%
Reilly Opelka
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 42.7%

Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.52
(1.67)

2.6
(2.13)
4.5%
(6.8%)
What is the prediction for Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Moutet (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Opelka (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moutet is ranked ATP: 32. Opelka is ranked ATP: 52.
    • In recent matches, Moutet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Opelka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Moutet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Moutet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moutet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka 0:2
    Latest results of Corentin Moutet
    Latest results of Reilly Opelka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Norrie C.Baez S.2 : 0
    3Marozsan F.Rinderknech A. (WC)0 : 2
    4Vacherot V. (WC)Lehecka J. (14)2 : 0
    5Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    6Muller A.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    7Altmaier D.Giron M.2 : 0
    8ByeRuud C. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)Bye
    10Vukic A. (Q)Atmane T. (WC)2 : 1
    11Moutet C.Opelka R. (LL)2 : 1
    12Popyrin A.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (10)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    14Shapovalov D.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    15Griekspoor T.Diallo G.0 : 2
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Musetti L. (7)Bye
    18Sonego L.Korda S. (Q)2 : 0
    19Mpetshi Perricard G.Dimitrov G.0 : 2
    20Munar J.Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Royer V. (LL)2 : 1
    22Darderi L.Cazaux A. (WC)0 : 2
    23Etcheverry T. M. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.0 : 2
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Shelton B. (5)Bye
    26Cobolli F.Machac T.2 : 0
    27Tien L.Borges N.2 : 0
    28Fearnley J. (Q)Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F.Dzumhur D. (Q)2 : 0
    30Kovacevic A. (LL)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    31Michelsen A.Bergs Z.1 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Norrie C.1 : 2
    2Rinderknech A.Vacherot V.1 : 2
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    4Altmaier D.Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Fritz T. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    6Moutet C.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    7Khachanov K. (10)Fonseca J.2 : 1
    8Diallo G.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Musetti L. (7)Sonego L.1 : 2
    10Dimitrov G.Medvedev D. (WO.) (11)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Cazaux A.2 : 0
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (5)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    14Tien L.Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16Bergs Z.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Norrie C.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    3Fritz T. (4)Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    4Khachanov K. (10)De Minaur A. (6)0 : 2
    5Sonego L.Medvedev D. (11)1 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Shelton B. (5)Rublev A. (12)2 : 0
    8Cerundolo F.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vacherot V.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)0 : 2
    2Bublik A. (13)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 1
    3Medvedev D. (11)Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Shelton B. (5)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Bublik A. (13)2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2