Corentin Moutet vs Tomas Machac – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
83
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
72%65%
1st serve points won
68% (40/59)59% (24/41)
2nd serve points won
35% (8/23)59% (13/22)
Break Points Saved
3/60/4
1st return points won
49% (20/41)32% (19/59)
2nd return points won
41% (9/22)65% (15/23)
Break Points Converted
4/43/6
Winners
1634
Unforced errors
1344
Net points won
20% (1/5)62% (18/29)
Service Points Won
59% (48/82)58% (36/62)
Return Points Won
42% (26/62)41% (34/82)
Total Points Won
51% (74/144)49% (70/144)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
75% (9/12)64% (7/11)
Return games won
36% (4/11)25% (3/12)
Total games won
57% (13/23)43% (10/23)

Chances of winning


Corentin Moutet
40.2%
Tomas Machac
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 56.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Moutet's form might have worsened.
  • Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Corentin Moutet - Tomas Machac Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.01)

    1.59
    (1.74)
    5%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Corentin Moutet - Tomas Machac?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Moutet will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Machac will win (votes: 15 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 56%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Machac (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moutet is ranked ATP: 33. Machac is ranked ATP: 48.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Machac may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Corentin Moutet
    Latest results of Tomas Machac
    19.03.2026 Emilio Nava - Tomas Machac 1:2
    23.02.2026 Tomas Machac - Denis Shapovalov Canceled
    04.02.2026 Arthur Gea - Tomas Machac Machac T. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Marozsan F.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    4ByeKorda S. (32)
    5Darderi L. (17)Bye
    6Giron M.Landaluce M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Duckworth J.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    8ByeKhachanov K. (14)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Quinn E.Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    11Kouame M. (WC)Svajda Z. (Q)2 : 1
    12ByeLehecka J. (21)
    13Draper J. (25)Bye
    14Opelka R.Borges N.2 : 1
    15Shapovalov D.Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    16ByeFritz T. (6)
    17Vukic A. (LL)Bye
    18Jodar R. (Q)Hanfmann Y. (Q)2 : 1
    19Bergs Z.Brooksby J.2 : 0
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (29)
    21Paul T. (22)Bye
    22Zhang Z. (PR)Mannarino A.0 : 2
    23Collignon R.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    24ByeCobolli F. (13)
    25Bublik A. (10)Bye
    26Muller A.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    27Basilashvili N. (Q)Navone M.0 : 2
    28ByeVacherot V. (24)
    29Fils A. (28)Bye
    30Blanch Dar. (WC)Struff J-L.2 : 1
    31Tsitsipas S.Fery A. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    33Shelton B. (8)Bye
    34Arnaldi M.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    35Diallo G.Wu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    36ByeHumbert U. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (18)Bye
    38Royer V.Tirante T. A. (LL)1 : 2
    39Kovacevic A.Sakamoto R. (WC)1 : 2
    40ByeMedvedev D. (9)
    41Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Bye
    42Halys Q.Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    43Majchrzak K.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    44ByeTien L. (20)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Cilic M.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    47Damm M. (WC)Fearnley J. (RET.)1 : 0
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Bye
    50O'Connell C. (Q)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    51Atmane T.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    52ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    53Tiafoe F. (19)Bye
    54Cazaux A.Barrios Vera T. (Q)2 : 0
    55Walton A. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Rublev A. (15)Bye
    58Tabilo A.Comesana F.2 : 0
    59Michelsen A.Bellucci M. (Q)2 : 0
    60ByeNorrie C. (23)
    61Moutet C. (30)Bye
    62Nava E.Machac T.1 : 2
    63Buse I. (Q)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    2Ugo Carabelli C.Korda S. (32)0 : 2
    3Darderi L. (17)Landaluce M.1 : 2
    4Bautista-Agut R.Khachanov K. (14)0 : 2
    5Ruud C. (11)Quinn E.0 : 2
    6Kouame M.Lehecka J. (21)0 : 2
    7Draper J. (25)Opelka R.0 : 2
    8Van De Zandschulp B.Fritz T. (6)1 : 2
    9Vukic A.Jodar R.0 : 2
    10Bergs Z.Etcheverry T. M. (29)0 : 2
    11Paul T. (22)Mannarino A.2 : 1
    12Collignon R.Cobolli F. (13)2 : 0
    13Bublik A. (10)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    14Navone M.Vacherot V. (24)0 : 2
    15Fils A. (28)Blanch Dar.2 : 0
    16Tsitsipas S.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    17Shelton B. (8)Shevchenko A.
    18Diallo G.Humbert U. (31)
    19Cerundolo F. (18)Tirante T. A.
    20Sakamoto R.Medvedev D. (9)
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Halys Q.0 : 2
    22Majchrzak K.Tien L. (20)2 : 1
    23Nakashima B. (27)Cilic M.
    24Damm M.Zverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    26Atmane T.Rinderknech A. (26)2 : 0
    27Tiafoe F. (19)Cazaux A.
    28Walton A.Mensik J. (12)
    29Rublev A. (15)Tabilo A.
    30Michelsen A.Norrie C. (23)
    31Moutet C. (30)Machac T.2 : 1
    32Dzumhur D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Korda S. (32)
    2Landaluce M.Khachanov K. (14)
    3Quinn E.Lehecka J. (21)
    4Opelka R.Fritz T. (6)
    5Jodar R.Etcheverry T. M. (29)
    6Paul T. (22)Collignon R.
    7Berrettini M.Vacherot V. (24)
    8Fils A. (28)Tsitsipas S.
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Halys Q.Majchrzak K.
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Atmane T.
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16Moutet C. (30)Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2