Result
2:3
01/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', Dieguinho (G),
- 5', Pedro Rei 🟨,
- 11', Pedro Rei (G),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 21', Dieguinho 🟨,
- 22', Caio Barros 🟨,
- 22', Israel Neto (G),
- 30', Igor Carioca 🟥,
- 30', Xuxa 🟥,
- 31', Luisinho 🟨,
- 34', Dieguinho 🟥,
- 38', Israel Neto (G),
- 39', Neto S. (G),
Chances of winning
Corinthians Paulista 20.9% | Draw 18.3% | Joinville 60.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians Paulista's form might have worsened.Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joinville's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (+30.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians Paulista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-30.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joinville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Corinthians Paulista - Joinville Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.31 ↑ (2.31) |
5.66 ↑ (4.2) |
1.43 ↓ (2.31) |
6.6% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 1.
- In recent matches, Corinthians Paulista has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Joinville is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Joinville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:40. (average 2.2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians Paulista won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:22. (average 3.1:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians Paulista won against Joinville?
Corinthians Paulista has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joinville won against Corinthians Paulista?
Joinville has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians Paulista - Joinville were as follows:
08.08.2024
Joinville
-
Corinthians Paulista
3:2
12.08.2023
Corinthians Paulista
-
Joinville
2:3
15.10.2022
Joinville
-
Corinthians Paulista
1:1
30.09.2022
Corinthians Paulista
-
Joinville
4:3
Latest results of Corinthians Paulista
Latest results of Joinville
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals1 | Atlantico (1) | Umuarama (16) | |
2 | Cascavel (8) | Marreco (9) | 2 : 2 |
3 | Jaragua (4) | Minas (13) | |
4 | Joinville (5) | Velez Camaqua (12) | |
5 | Praia Clube (2) | Foz Cataratas (15) | |
6 | ACMF/Campo Mourao (7) | Pato (10) | |
7 | Magnus (3) | Santo Andre/Intelli (14) | 3 : 1 |
8 | Corinthians (6) | Carlos Barbosa (11) | |