Corinthians Paulista vs Vélez Camaquã – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
24/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LNF - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', Guilherme (G),
  • 11', Luizinho 🟨,
  • 16', Michael d. O. (G),
  • 18', Helio 🟨,
  • 18', Deives Moraes (G),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 21', Caio Cesar (G),
  • 21', Xitao 🟨,
  • 22', Guilherme (G),
  • 28', Lucas Martins (G),
  • 37', Indio 🟨,
  • 40', Michael d. O. (G),

Chances of winning


Corinthians Paulista
52.2%
Draw
20.6%
Vélez Camaquã
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 19.7% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 19% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Vélez Camaquã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Camaquã than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Corinthians Paulista - Vélez Camaquã Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.73)
    4.52
    (4.7)
    3.42
    (3.45)
    7.6%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Corinthians Paulista is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vélez Camaquã's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Corinthians Paulista may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Corinthians Paulista could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Corinthians Paulista will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Corinthians Paulista
    Latest results of Vélez Camaquã
    22.07.2025 Magnus - Vélez Camaquã 4:2
    13.07.2025 Vélez Camaquã - Marreco 4:1
    03.07.2025 Minas - Vélez Camaquã 2:3
    23.06.2025 Tubarão - Vélez Camaquã 0:4
    12.06.2025 Vélez Camaquã - Blumenau 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Umuarama (16)4 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Cascavel (8)Marreco (9)1 : 0, 2 : 2
    3Jaragua (4)Minas (13)3 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Joinville (5)Velez Camaqua (12)2 : 2, 3 : 2
    5Magnus (3)Santo Andre/Intelli (14)7 : 4, 3 : 1
    6Corinthians (6)Carlos Barbosa (11)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    7Praia Clube (2)Foz Cataratas (15)3 : 1, 2 : 4
    8ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)Pato (10)3 : 3, 2 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Cascavel (8)3 : 2, 1 : 1
    2Jaragua (4)Joinville (5)4 : 1, 4 : 1
    3Magnus (3)Corinthians (6)6 : 5, 2 : 4
    4Praia Clube (2)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)2 : 2, 0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Atlantico (1)Jaragua (4)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    2Corinthians (6)ACMF/Campo Mourao (7)3 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Jaragua (4)Corinthians (6)3 : 0, 3 : 3