Result
1:1
25/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (291/356) | 82% (314/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (291/356) | 82% (314/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 65% (37/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (77/104) | 65% (63/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', William Furtado 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Matheus Pereira ⚽,
- 39', Dorival Junior 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Breno Bidon ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 46', Raniele ↓, Andre ↑,
- 60', Christian ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
- 67', Charles Rigon ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 67', Vitinho ↓, Allan ↑,
- 72', Romero L. 🟨,
- 75', Andre 🟨,
- 78', Pedro Raul ↓, Depay M. ↑,
- 79', Kaio Jorge ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 79', Romero L. ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 80', William Furtado 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽, Garro R. (A),
- 87', Dorival Junior 🟨,
- 90+5', Carrillo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
54.5% | Draw
26.7% | Corinthians
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Cruzeiro - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.85) |
3.55 ↑
(3.33) |
4.97 ↑
(4.33) |
5.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Chico
(Injury)
Jonathan Jesus
(Inactive)
Kaua Moraes
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Cunha
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo
(Injury)
Kaio Cesar
(Injury)
Pereira M.
(Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Corinthians?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Cruzeiro?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Corinthians were as follows:
14.12.2025
Corinthians
-
Cruzeiro
2:2
10.12.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Corinthians
0:1
23.11.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Corinthians
3:0
23.07.2025
Corinthians
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
20.11.2024
Corinthians
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
