Result
0:0
23/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.32 | 0.95 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
79% (298/378) | 82% (348/424) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.32 | 0.95 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.30 | 0.37 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
79% (298/378) | 82% (348/424) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (42/72) | 42% (19/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (53/82) | 64% (65/101) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (3/14) | 23% (3/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.61 | 0.55 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 29 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
76% (13/17) | 50% (6/12) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.37 | 0.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.37 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Romero L. 🟨,
- 64', Charles Rigon 🟨,
- 67', Talles Magno ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 67', Charles Rigon ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 70', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 71', Christian ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 79', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 80', Carrillo A. 🟨,
- 82', Garro R. 🟨,
- 83', Breno Bidon ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 87', Kaiki 🟨,
- 89', Matheus Pereira ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians 35% | Draw 31.9% | Cruzeiro 33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Corinthians - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.7 ↑ (2.37) |
2.99 ↓ (3.25) |
2.86 ↓ (3) |
5.5% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Cruzeiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 40%). Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Corinthians (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 2.
- In recent matches, Corinthians has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cruzeiro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cruzeiro has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo
(Inactive)
Raniele
(Yellow Cards)
Ryan
(Inactive)
Yuri Alberto
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Maycon
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Lucas Silva
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Cruzeiro?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Corinthians?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Cruzeiro were as follows:
20.11.2024
Corinthians
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
07.07.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Corinthians
3:0
19.08.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Corinthians
1:1
16.04.2023
Corinthians
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet