Result
0:0
23/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (298/378) | 82% (348/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (298/378) | 82% (348/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (42/72) | 42% (19/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (53/82) | 64% (65/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Romero L. 🟨,
- 64', Charles Rigon 🟨,
- 67', Talles Magno ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 67', Charles Rigon ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 70', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 71', Christian ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 79', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 80', Carrillo A. 🟨,
- 82', Garro R. 🟨,
- 83', Breno Bidon ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 87', Kaiki 🟨,
- 89', Matheus Pereira ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
35% | Draw
31.9% | Cruzeiro
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Corinthians - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.37) |
2.99 ↓
(3.25) |
2.86 ↓
(3) |
5.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Cruzeiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 40%). Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Corinthians (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 2.
- In recent matches, Corinthians has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cruzeiro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cruzeiro has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo
(Inactive)
Raniele
(Yellow Cards)
Ryan
(Inactive)
Yuri Alberto
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Maycon
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Lucas Silva
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Cruzeiro?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Corinthians?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Cruzeiro were as follows:
20.11.2024
Corinthians
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
07.07.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Corinthians
3:0
19.08.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Corinthians
1:1
16.04.2023
Corinthians
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
