Corinthians vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Corinthians - Cruzeiro
Result
0:0
23/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.320.95
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
79% (298/378)82% (348/424)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.320.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.300.37
Total shots
713
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1719
Passes
79% (298/378)82% (348/424)
Long passes
58% (42/72)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
65% (53/82)64% (65/101)
Crosses
21% (3/14)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.55
Throw-ins
1929
Fouls
1917
Tackles
76% (13/17)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4854
Clearances
2920
Interceptions
1414
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.370.30
Goals prevented
0.370.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Romero L. 🟨,
  • 64', Charles Rigon 🟨,
  • 67', Talles Magno , Angel Romero ,
  • 67', Charles Rigon , Carrillo A. ,
  • 70', Wanderson , Marquinhos ,
  • 71', Christian , Eduardo ,
  • 79', Kaio Jorge , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 80', Carrillo A. 🟨,
  • 82', Garro R. 🟨,
  • 83', Breno Bidon , Kayke ,
  • 87', Kaiki 🟨,
  • 89', Matheus Pereira , Bolasie Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Corinthians
35%
Draw
31.9%
Cruzeiro
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 28.9% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 29.8% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Corinthians - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.37)
    2.99
    (3.25)
    2.86
    (3)
    5.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Corinthians - Cruzeiro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 40%). Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Corinthians (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 2.
    • In recent matches, Corinthians has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cruzeiro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cruzeiro has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo (Inactive) Raniele (Yellow Cards) Ryan (Inactive) Yuri Alberto (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson (Knee Injury) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Matheus Henrique (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Corinthians: Maycon (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Lucas Silva (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    20.11.2024 Corinthians - Cruzeiro 2:1
    07.07.2024 Cruzeiro - Corinthians 3:0
    19.08.2023 Cruzeiro - Corinthians 1:1
    16.04.2023 Corinthians - Cruzeiro 2:1
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    20.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Juventude 4:0
    17.07.2025 Fluminense - Cruzeiro 0:2
    13.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 4:1
    06.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Banfield 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet