Cruzeiro vs Corinthians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Mineirão (Belo Horizonte).

Serie A Betano - Round 4
Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Canal 11
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.71	0.23
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
11	4
Shots on target
3	2
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
82% (291/356)	82% (314/385)
Yellow cards
3	2
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.71	0.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	0.22
Total shots
11	4
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
4	0
Shots inside the box
5	2
Shots outside the box
6	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
22	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
14	15
Passes
82% (291/356)	82% (314/385)
Long passes
51% (24/47)	65% (37/57)
Passes in final third
74% (77/104)	65% (63/97)
Crosses
7% (1/15)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	0.47
Throw ins
21	21
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
70% (7/10)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
34	46
Clearances
20	13
Interceptions
9	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.22	0.66
Goals prevented
-0.78	-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', William Furtado 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Matheus Pereira ⚽,
39', Dorival Junior 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Breno Bidon ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
46', Raniele ↓, Andre ↑,
60', Christian ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
67', Charles Rigon ↓, Garro R. ↑,
67', Vitinho ↓, Allan ↑,
72', Romero L. 🟨,
75', Andre 🟨,
78', Pedro Raul ↓, Depay M. ↑,
79', Kaio Jorge ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
79', Romero L. ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
80', William Furtado 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽, Garro R. (A),
87', Dorival Junior 🟨,
90+5', Carrillo A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cruzeiro
54.5%

Draw
26.7%

Corinthians
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

31.2%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Cruzeiro - Corinthians Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	3.55 ↑ (3.33)	4.97 ↑ (4.33)	5.4% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Corinthians?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cruzeiro is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Cruzeiro: Chico (Injury) Jonathan Jesus (Inactive) Kaua Moraes (Inactive) Marquinhos (Knee Injury) Matheus Cunha (Inactive)
There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo (Injury) Kaio Cesar (Injury) Pereira M. (Injury) Yuri Alberto (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Corinthians?

Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Cruzeiro?

Corinthians has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Corinthians were as follows:

14.12.2025 Corinthians - Cruzeiro 2:2

10.12.2025 Cruzeiro - Corinthians 0:1

23.11.2025 Cruzeiro - Corinthians 3:0

23.07.2025 Corinthians - Cruzeiro 0:0

20.11.2024 Corinthians - Cruzeiro 2:1

Latest results of Cruzeiro

21.02.2026 Pouso Alegre - Cruzeiro 1:2 ✺

14.02.2026 URT - Cruzeiro 1:2 ✺

11.02.2026 Mirassol - Cruzeiro 2:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Cruzeiro - América Mineiro 2:0 ✺

05.02.2026 Cruzeiro - Coritiba 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Corinthians

22.02.2026 Portuguesa - Corinthians 1:2 ✺

19.02.2026 Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians 0:1 ✺

15.02.2026 São Bernardo - Corinthians 0:1 ✺

12.02.2026 Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino 2:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Corinthians - Palmeiras 0:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palmeiras	8	6	1	1	17:8	9	19
2	Sao Paulo	8	5	1	2	10:5	5	16
3	Fluminense	8	5	1	2	13:9	4	16
4	Flamengo RJ	7	4	2	1	13:5	8	14
5	Bahia	7	4	2	1	9:7	2	14
6	Athletico-PR	7	4	1	2	10:7	3	13
7	Coritiba	8	4	1	3	9:8	1	13
8	Gremio	8	3	2	3	13:12	1	11
9	Vasco	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
10	Vitoria	7	3	1	3	8:10	-2	10
11	Corinthians	8	2	4	2	7:7	0	10
12	Internacional	8	2	2	4	7:9	-2	8
13	Atletico-MG	8	2	2	4	8:11	-3	8
14	Bragantino	8	2	2	4	6:10	-4	8
15	Chapecoense-SC	7	1	4	2	9:11	-2	7
16	Santos	8	1	4	3	10:13	-3	7
17	Botafogo RJ	6	2	0	4	10:12	-2	6
18	Mirassol	7	1	3	3	8:10	-2	6
19	Remo	8	1	3	4	10:15	-5	6
20	Cruzeiro	8	0	4	4	8:16	-8	4

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