Result
2:2
23/02/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 12
- Referee: Murilo V. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, PlayPlus, R7, Sky+, TV Record, UOL Play, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 37 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (392/467) | 79% (280/355) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 70% (60/86) | 65% (66/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 56% (5/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 56% (10/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Angel Romero ⚽, Matheus Bidu (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Rafael Bilu ⚽, Joao Victor (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 2, Joao Marcelo ⚽,
- 59', Talles Magno ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
- 60', Maycon ↓, Breno Bidon ↑,
- 60', Igor Coronado ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 60', Charles Rigon ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
- 60', Hernandez H. ↓, Depay M. ↑,
- 67', Rafael Bilu ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 67', 2 - 2, Angel Romero ⚽, Garro R. (A),
- 69', Anderson Leite 🟨,
- 72', Lucas Justen ↓, Yan Henrique ↑,
- 73', Anderson Leite ↓, Yuji ↑,
- 74', Lucao 🟨,
- 81', Joao Marcelo ↓, Deni Junior ↑,
- 81', Caio Mello ↓, Nascimento R. ↑,
- 90+4', Yan Henrique 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
58.6% | Draw
24.7% | Guarani
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Corinthians - Guarani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.5) |
3.71 ↓
(3.95) |
5.48 ↓
(5.97) |
8.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Guarani?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 16 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Corinthians is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Corinthians is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches Guarani is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Corinthians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Corinthians is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Guarani?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Corinthians?
Guarani has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Guarani were as follows:
21.01.2024
Corinthians
-
Guarani
1:0
24.01.2023
Corinthians
-
Guarani
2:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Guarani
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
