Result
2:1
31/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 10
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.63 | 0.40 |
Ball Possession |
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42% | 58% |
Total shots |
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13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
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76% (228/301) | 80% (333/417) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.40 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.56 | 0.68 |
Total shots |
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13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
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0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 11 |
Passes |
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76% (228/301) | 80% (333/417) |
Long passes |
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42% (22/52) | 53% (39/73) |
Passes in final third |
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67% (65/97) | 61% (71/116) |
Crosses |
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19% (3/16) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.94 | 0.69 |
Throw-ins |
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28 | 37 |
Fouls |
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11 | 9 |
Tackles |
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72% (13/18) | 63% (10/16) |
Duels won |
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51 | 56 |
Clearances |
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34 | 19 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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0.68 | 1.56 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.32 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Alex Silva ⚽, Filipe Machado (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nicolas Careca ↓, Lucas Ronier ↑,
- 46', JP ↓, Mendes ↑,
- 46', Hygor ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 61', Geovane Meurer ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 61', Filipe Machado ↓, Geovane ↑,
- 66', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Emerson Negueba ↑,
- 66', Jonathan Costa ↓, Railan ↑,
- 71', Pedro Morisco 🟨,
- 73', Gomez S. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Andrey ⚽,
- 81', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, de Pena C. ⚽,
- 89', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Gaspar ↑,
Chances of winning
Coritiba 46.3% | Draw 30.2% | Avaí 23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coritiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Coritiba - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.03 ↑ (1.81) |
3.1 ↓ (3.3) |
3.98 ↓ (4.3) |
6.7% (8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Avaí?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Coritiba will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Coritiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Coritiba could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Coritiba: Guilherme Vargas
(Injury)
Josue
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Avaí: Joao Vitor
(Yellow Cards)
Mario Sergio
(Injury)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Lucas Ronier
(Injury)
Rodrigo Moledo
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Leo Reis
(Inactive)
Renan
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:2. (average 1.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Avaí?
Coritiba has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Coritiba?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Avaí were as follows:
27.08.2024
Coritiba
-
Avaí
1:0
11.05.2024
Avaí
-
Coritiba
1:0
27.08.2022
Coritiba
-
Avaí
1:0
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )