Result
2:1
31/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 10
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (228/301) | 80% (333/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (228/301) | 80% (333/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 53% (39/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (65/97) | 61% (71/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Alex Silva ⚽, Filipe Machado (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nicolas Careca ↓, Lucas Ronier ↑,
- 46', JP ↓, Mendes ↑,
- 46', Hygor ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 61', Geovane Meurer ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 61', Filipe Machado ↓, Geovane ↑,
- 66', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Emerson Negueba ↑,
- 66', Jonathan Costa ↓, Railan ↑,
- 71', Pedro Morisco 🟨,
- 73', Gomez S. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Andrey ⚽,
- 81', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, de Pena C. ⚽,
- 89', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Gaspar ↑,
Chances of winning
Coritiba
46.3% | Draw
30.2% | Avaí
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coritiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Coritiba - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.81) |
3.1 ↓
(3.3) |
3.98 ↓
(4.3) |
6.7%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Avaí?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Coritiba will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Coritiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Coritiba could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Coritiba: Guilherme Vargas
(Injury)
Josue
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Avaí: Joao Vitor
(Yellow Cards)
Mario Sergio
(Injury)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Lucas Ronier
(Injury)
Rodrigo Moledo
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Leo Reis
(Inactive)
Renan
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:2. (average 1.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Avaí?
Coritiba has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Coritiba?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Avaí were as follows:
27.08.2024
Coritiba
-
Avaí
1:0
11.05.2024
Avaí
-
Coritiba
1:0
27.08.2022
Coritiba
-
Avaí
1:0
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Avai | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Amazonas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
