Coritiba vs Avaí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Coritiba - Avaí
Result
2:1
31/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 10
  • Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.40
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
76% (228/301)80% (333/417)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.68
Total shots
138
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
911
Passes
76% (228/301)80% (333/417)
Long passes
42% (22/52)53% (39/73)
Passes in final third
67% (65/97)61% (71/116)
Crosses
19% (3/16)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.69
Throw-ins
2837
Fouls
119
Tackles
72% (13/18)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5156
Clearances
3419
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.681.56
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Alex Silva , Filipe Machado (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Nicolas Careca , Lucas Ronier ,
  • 46', JP , Mendes ,
  • 46', Hygor , Alef Manga ,
  • 61', Geovane Meurer , de Pena C. ,
  • 61', Filipe Machado , Geovane ,
  • 66', Marcos Vinicius , Emerson Negueba ,
  • 66', Jonathan Costa , Railan ,
  • 71', Pedro Morisco 🟨,
  • 73', Gomez S. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Andrey ,
  • 81', Gustavo Coutinho , Dellatorre ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, de Pena C. ,
  • 89', Gustavo Barreto , Gaspar ,

Chances of winning


Coritiba
46.3%
Draw
30.2%
Avaí
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 27.9% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 30% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coritiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Coritiba - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.81)
    3.1
    (3.3)
    3.98
    (4.3)
    6.7%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Coritiba - Avaí?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Coritiba will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Coritiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Coritiba could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Guilherme Vargas (Injury) Josue (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Joao Vitor (Yellow Cards) Mario Sergio (Injury) Quaresma (Injury) Ze Ricardo (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Coritiba: Lucas Ronier (Injury) Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Leo Reis (Inactive) Renan (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:2. (average 1.9:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Avaí were as follows:
    27.08.2024 Coritiba - Avaí 1:0
    11.05.2024 Avaí - Coritiba 1:0
    27.08.2022 Coritiba - Avaí 1:0
    Latest results of Coritiba
    26.05.2025 Criciúma - Coritiba 0:1
    10.05.2025 Goiás - Coritiba 1:0
    02.05.2025 Ferroviária - Coritiba 2:1
    Latest results of Avaí
    24.05.2025 Avaí - Chapecoense 2:1
    15.05.2025 Ferroviária - Avaí 1:1
    05.05.2025 Goiás - Avaí 2:1
    26.04.2025 Avaí - América Mineiro 3:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias17113323:131036
    2Coritiba17103418:11733
    3Novorizontino1787222:121031
    4Chapecoense-SC1782721:16526
    5Remo1768319:15426
    6Cuiaba1774619:20-125
    7Avai1767420:18225
    8Vila Nova FC1773715:16-124
    9Athletico-PR1772821:23-223
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11CRB1764716:16022
    12Atletico GO1757518:17122
    13Athletic Club17701020:24-421
    14America MG1762917:21-420
    15Operario-PR1754818:20-219
    16Paysandu PA1746716:19-318
    17Ferroviaria1746717:21-418
    18Volta Redonda1746710:16-618
    19Botafogo SP1746712:20-818
    20Amazonas1745816:23-717

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )