Result
3:3
11/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (375/436) | 85% (360/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (375/436) | 85% (360/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 61% (43/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (78/111) | 66% (50/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.81 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Breno Lopes ⚽, Lucas Ronier (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Clar W. ⚽, Everton (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Camilo Reijers ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
- 55', Lavega J. ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
- 55', Maicon ↓, Jacy ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Breno Lopes ⚽,
- 59', 1 - 3, Pedro Rocha ⚽, Lucas Ronier (A),
- 61', Everton 🟨,
- 69', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
- 69', Everton ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
- 69', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 71', 2 - 3, Eduardo Doma ⚽, Jean Carlos (A),
- 73', Willian Oliveira ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 73', Pedro Rocha ↓, Enzo Vagner ↑,
- 80', Tiago Coser 🟨,
- 83', Lucas Ronier ↓, Keno ↑,
- 84', Higor Meritao 🟨,
- 87', Jean Carlos ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 3, Rubens Ricoldi ⚽, Clar W. (A),
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
34.6% | Draw
30.2% | Coritiba
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Chapecoense - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.48) |
3.13 ↑
(3.01) |
2.71 ↓
(2.88) |
5.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Chapecoense (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Chapecoense (1.83) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 2 - 50%). Coritiba (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
Neto Pessoa
(Inactive)
Rafael Thyere
(Inactive)
Robert Conceicao
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Breno Lopes
(Injury)
Lucas Crepaldi
(Inactive)
Maicon
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Coritiba?
Chapecoense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Chapecoense?
Coritiba has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Coritiba were as follows:
08.08.2025
Coritiba
-
Chapecoense
0:0
12.04.2025
Chapecoense
-
Coritiba
1:2
17.11.2024
Chapecoense
-
Coritiba
2:1
27.07.2024
Coritiba
-
Chapecoense
1:0
Latest results of Chapecoense
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
