Coritiba vs Criciúma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba).

Serie B Superbet - Round 28
Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	0.90
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
85% (474/559)	70% (215/309)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	0.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.10	0.54
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
8	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
17	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
85% (474/559)	70% (215/309)
Long passes
49% (19/39)	40% (27/67)
Passes in final third
72% (98/137)	54% (45/83)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.41	0.63
Throw-ins
33	29
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
45% (5/11)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
50	57
Clearances
21	41
Interceptions
11	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.54	0.10
Goals prevented
-1.46	0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Josue 🟨,
21', Marcinho 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Rodrigo ⚽, Jhonata Robert (A),
36', 0 - 2, Nicolas ⚽, Rodrigo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Joao Almeida ↓, Bruno Melo ↑,
46', Tiago Coser ↓, Zeca ↑,
46', Vini Paulista ↓, Clayson ↑,
59', Marcinho ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
59', Nicolas ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
59', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
59', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
71', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
74', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
77', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
79', Filipe Machado 🟨,
84', Diego Goncalves ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
84', Jhonata Robert ↓, Yan Souto ↑,

Chances of winning

Coritiba
51.5%

Draw
29.2%

Criciúma
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

30.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

32.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Coritiba - Criciúma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.89)	3.19 ↑ (3)	4.74 ↑ (4.5)	6.4% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Coritiba - Criciúma?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 6.6% – 60%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 3.
Coritiba has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Criciúma is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Coritiba is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva (Injury) Gabriel Leite (Yellow Cards) Rodrigo Rodrigues (Injury)
There will not play in Criciúma: Caue (Inactive) Heitor Roca (Knee Injury) Juninho (Yellow Cards) Leo Alaba (Injury)
There are questionable in Criciúma: Kaua Moroso (Back Injury) Leo Naldi (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Criciúma?

Coritiba has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Coritiba?

Criciúma has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Criciúma were as follows:

26.05.2025 Criciúma - Coritiba 0:1

14.03.2023 Coritiba - Criciúma 2:1

Latest results of Coritiba

21.09.2025 América Mineiro - Coritiba 1:0 ✺

12.09.2025 Coritiba - Goiás 0:0 ✺

05.09.2025 Coritiba - Ferroviária 4:0 ✺

29.08.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Coritiba - Remo 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Criciúma

21.09.2025 Criciúma - CRB Maceio 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Atlético Tubarão - Criciúma 0:4 ✺

14.09.2025 Criciúma - Camboriú 3:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Volta Redonda - Criciúma 0:0 ✺

10.09.2025 Caravaggio - Criciúma 0:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	32	16	8	8	34:21	13	56
2	Novorizontino	33	14	12	7	36:27	9	54
3	Criciuma	32	15	8	9	42:29	13	53
4	Goias	32	14	10	8	36:29	7	52
5	Chapecoense-SC	32	15	6	11	44:31	13	51
6	Remo	32	13	12	7	39:31	8	51
7	Athletico-PR	32	14	7	11	45:42	3	49
8	Cuiaba	32	13	10	9	38:35	3	49
9	CRB	32	14	5	13	38:33	5	47
10	Atletico GO	32	11	12	9	35:33	2	45
11	Avai	32	11	11	10	40:34	6	44
12	Vila Nova FC	32	11	10	11	32:33	-1	43
13	Operario-PR	32	10	9	13	32:36	-4	39
14	America MG	32	10	7	15	34:39	-5	37
15	Athletic Club	32	10	7	15	37:44	-7	37
16	Ferroviaria	32	8	13	11	36:42	-6	37
17	Volta Redonda	32	8	10	14	22:34	-12	34
18	Botafogo SP	32	8	9	15	27:47	-20	33
19	Amazonas	33	7	11	15	33:48	-15	32
20	Paysandu PA	32	5	11	16	28:40	-12	26

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )