Result
0:2
25/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 28
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (474/559) | 70% (215/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (474/559) | 70% (215/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (19/39) | 40% (27/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (98/137) | 54% (45/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', Josue 🟨,
- 21', Marcinho 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Rodrigo ⚽, Jhonata Robert (A),
- 36', 0 - 2, Nicolas ⚽, Rodrigo (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Joao Almeida ↓, Bruno Melo ↑,
- 46', Tiago Coser ↓, Zeca ↑,
- 46', Vini Paulista ↓, Clayson ↑,
- 59', Marcinho ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
- 59', Nicolas ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
- 59', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
- 59', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
- 71', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
- 74', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
- 77', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
- 79', Filipe Machado 🟨,
- 84', Diego Goncalves ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 84', Jhonata Robert ↓, Yan Souto ↑,
Chances of winning
Coritiba
51.5% | Draw
29.2% | Criciúma
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Coritiba - Criciúma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.89) |
3.19 ↑
(3) |
4.74 ↑
(4.5) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Criciúma?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 6.6% – 60%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 3.
- Coritiba has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Criciúma is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Coritiba is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva
(Injury)
Gabriel Leite
(Yellow Cards)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Injury)
- There will not play in Criciúma: Caue
(Inactive)
Heitor Roca
(Knee Injury)
Juninho
(Yellow Cards)
Leo Alaba
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Kaua Moroso
(Back Injury)
Leo Naldi
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Criciúma?
Coritiba has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Coritiba?
Criciúma has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Criciúma were as follows:
26.05.2025
Criciúma
-
Coritiba
0:1
14.03.2023
Coritiba
-
Criciúma
2:1
Latest results of Coritiba
Latest results of Criciúma
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 4 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
