Result
3:1
04/07/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 23
- Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (621/683) | 78% (270/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (621/683) | 78% (270/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (29/47) | 27% (17/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (124/154) | 57% (43/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -2.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Wood H. ⚽,
- 6', 2 - 0, Odubeko A. ⚽, Wood H. (A),
- 42', 2 - 1, Nelson K. ⚽, Anderson F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Maguire S. ↓, Dijksteel M. ↑,
- 46', Murray S. ↓, McLaughlin E. ↑,
- 50', Lyons C. 🟥,
- 52', Mbeng M. 🟨,
- 56', Nolan A. ↓, Kelleher F. ↑,
- 56', Nelson K. ↓, O'Sullivan C. ↑,
- 57', Coyle M. 🟨,
- 60', Coote A. ↓, Bone S. ↑,
- 60', Caffrey E. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
- 60', McInroy K. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
- 71', Odubeko A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 76', Anderson F. ↓, Lutz C. ↑,
- 79', Wood H. ↓, O'Sullivan J. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Lunney J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Shelbourne
62.7% | Draw
23.1% | Cork City
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Cork City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shelbourne that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cork City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shelbourne - Cork City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.62) |
4 ↑
(3.83) |
6.5 ↑
(5.58) |
7.3%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shelbourne - Cork City?
Users Predictions:
Shelbourne will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shelbourne will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 3.
- Recent performances by Shelbourne have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cork City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Cork City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Shelbourne is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cork City: Couto B.
(Ankle Injury)
Drinan C.
(Knee Injury)
Kiernan M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Cork City?
Shelbourne has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cork City won against Shelbourne?
Cork City has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shelbourne - Cork City were as follows:
30.05.2025
Cork City
-
Shelbourne
1:1
14.03.2025
Shelbourne
-
Cork City
1:1
03.02.2024
Shelbourne
-
Cork City
2:0
22.09.2023
Shelbourne
-
Cork City
2:1
28.07.2023
Cork City
-
Shelbourne
0:2
Latest results of Shelbourne
Latest results of Cork City
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 49 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 30:22 | 8 | 41 |
| 3 | Derry City | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | St. Patricks | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 7 | Waterford | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 28:42 | -14 | 30 |
| 8 | Galway | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 23 |
| 10 | Cork City | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24:43 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
