Result
1:2
13/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 33
- Referee: Doyle N. (Irl)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (248/340) | 82% (418/508) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (248/340) | 82% (418/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/59) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (55/91) | 71% (115/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 78% (21/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Kelly D. ⚽, McInroy K. (A),
- 29', Wood H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Wood H. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
- 54', Norris J. ↓, Wilson T. ↑,
- 65', Coote A. ↓, Lunney J. ↑,
- 65', Kelly D. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
- 74', Bolger G. ↓, Murray S. ↑,
- 75', Nelson K. ↓, Couto B. ↑,
- 77', Martin J. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 1, Maguire S. ⚽,
- 81', Martin J. ↓, Odubeko A. ↑,
- 83', McLaughlin E. 🟨,
- 85', Henry-Francis J. 🟨,
- 86', Nolan A. ↓, Lutz C. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Henry-Francis J. ⚽, McInroy K. (A),
- 90+3', Kelleher F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Lyons C. ↓, Hanover C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cork City
15.4% | Draw
23.6% | Shelbourne
61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cork City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shelbourne's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Cork City - Shelbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.16 ↑
(5.01) |
4.02 ↑
(3.65) |
1.54 ↓
(1.67) |
6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cork City - Shelbourne?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Cork City will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelbourne: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shelbourne (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Shelbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Shelbourne is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cork City: Keating R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nevin H.
(Inactive)
O'Sullivan C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shelbourne: Barrett P.
(Red Card)
Bone S.
(Injury)
Kearns C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Moore S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cork City won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cork City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cork City won against Shelbourne?
Cork City has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Cork City?
Shelbourne has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cork City - Shelbourne were as follows:
04.07.2025
Shelbourne
-
Cork City
3:1
30.05.2025
Cork City
-
Shelbourne
1:1
14.03.2025
Shelbourne
-
Cork City
1:1
03.02.2024
Shelbourne
-
Cork City
2:0
22.09.2023
Shelbourne
-
Cork City
2:1
Latest results of Cork City
Latest results of Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 53:29 | 24 | 63 |
| 2 | Derry City | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 57 |
| 3 | Shelbourne | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 55 |
| 4 | St. Patricks | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42:32 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 42:35 | 7 | 51 |
| 6 | Drogheda | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 51 |
| 7 | Galway | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:42 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Sligo Rovers | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Waterford | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 40:59 | -19 | 38 |
| 10 | Cork City ✔ | 35 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 33:60 | -27 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cork City is Relegated to Division 1
