Cancún vs Correcaminos UAT – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
25/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Ortiz Leon J. C. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
11
Total shots
126
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', Alonzo J. 🟥,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Soria E. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Reyes R. , Uscanga P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', Aguilar A. 🟨,
  • 50', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 52', Aguilar A. , Espinosa Y. ,
  • 57', 3 - 0, Diaz J. , Campos K. (A),
  • 59', Sarmiento M. 🟨,
  • 64', Soria E. , Rosales A. ,
  • 69', Campos K. , Unjanque J. ,
  • 69', Ochoa I. , Chavez A. ,
  • 74', Trevino S. , Villareal A. ,
  • 74', Estopier J. , Rubli G. ,
  • 77', 4 - 0, Trejo C. , Unjanque J. (A),
  • 79', Mengual A. 🟥,
  • 80', 5 - 0, Diaz J. (Pen),
  • 83', Padilla E. , Montiel S. ,
  • 83', Trejo C. , Melendre F. ,

Chances of winning


Cancún
69.1%
Draw
18.7%
Correcaminos UAT
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.1% 19% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 18.2% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Cancún - Correcaminos UAT Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.35)
    4.99
    (4.83)
    7.64
    (7.17)
    7.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
    • Cancún is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 3.
    • Cancún is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Correcaminos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Cancún is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Correcaminos UAT were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Cancún - Correcaminos UAT 2:1
    16.10.2024 Correcaminos UAT - Cancún 1:3
    31.01.2024 Correcaminos UAT - Cancún 3:1
    05.08.2023 Cancún - Correcaminos UAT 2:1
    25.01.2023 Cancún - Correcaminos UAT 0:1
    Latest results of Cancún
    10.10.2025 Cancún - Irapuato 0:0
    03.10.2025 Atlético La Paz - Cancún 2:4
    27.09.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:0
    20.09.2025 Jaiba Brava - Cancún 2:1
    Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos1163216:7921
    2Atletico La Paz1054118:61219
    3Atl. Morelia1061316:9719
    4Tapatio1052322:17517
    5Atlante1044215:9616
    6Cancun1043315:12315
    7Tlaxcala1043312:12015
    8Zacatecas Mineros1042413:15-214
    9Irapuato1041522:20213
    10Jaiba Brava1041510:12-213
    11Correcaminos1033410:16-612
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1033415:23-812
    13Venados1022616:20-48
    14Leones Negros1014510:20-107
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1114612:24-127

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)