Cancún vs Correcaminos UAT – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
25/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Ortiz Leon J. C. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
11
Total shots
126
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', Alonzo J. 🟥,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Soria E. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Reyes R. , Uscanga P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', Aguilar A. 🟨,
  • 50', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 52', Aguilar A. , Espinosa Y. ,
  • 57', 3 - 0, Diaz J. , Campos K. (A),
  • 59', Sarmiento M. 🟨,
  • 64', Soria E. , Rosales A. ,
  • 69', Campos K. , Unjanque J. ,
  • 69', Ochoa I. , Chavez A. ,
  • 74', Trevino S. , Villareal A. ,
  • 74', Estopier J. , Rubli G. ,
  • 77', 4 - 0, Trejo C. , Unjanque J. (A),
  • 79', Mengual A. 🟥,
  • 80', 5 - 0, Diaz J. (Pen),
  • 83', Padilla E. , Montiel S. ,
  • 83', Trejo C. , Melendre F. ,

Chances of winning


Cancún
69.1%
Draw
18.7%
Correcaminos UAT
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.1% 19% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 18.2% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Cancún - Correcaminos UAT Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.35)
    4.99
    (4.83)
    7.64
    (7.17)
    7.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
    • Cancún is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 3.
    • Cancún is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Correcaminos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Cancún is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Correcaminos UAT were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Cancún - Correcaminos UAT 2:1
    16.10.2024 Correcaminos UAT - Cancún 1:3
    31.01.2024 Correcaminos UAT - Cancún 3:1
    05.08.2023 Cancún - Correcaminos UAT 2:1
    25.01.2023 Cancún - Correcaminos UAT 0:1
    Latest results of Cancún
    10.10.2025 Cancún - Irapuato 0:0
    03.10.2025 Atlético La Paz - Cancún 2:4
    27.09.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:0
    20.09.2025 Jaiba Brava - Cancún 2:1
    Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia751111:3816
    2Tepatitlan de Morelos84318:4415
    3Tapatio742116:10614
    4Tlaxcala741211:9213
    5Cancun731310:8210
    6Atlante723210:739
    7Atletico La Paz62318:539
    8Irapuato730413:14-19
    9Alebrijes Oaxaca72329:10-19
    10Venados822416:17-18
    11Zacatecas Mineros72239:10-18
    12Leones Negros71338:13-56
    13Jaiba Brava62045:10-56
    14Correcaminos71336:12-66
    15Dorados de Sinaloa813411:19-86

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)