Result
1:0
17/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Villa R. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Ruiz L. 🟨,
- 25', Cortes J. 🟨,
- 27', Hernandez E. (Pen),
- 38', Aguilar A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Vargas L. 🟥,
- 45+2', Garcia J. ↓, Trevino S. ↑,
- 45+10', Mengual A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez A. ↓, Leyva C. ↑,
- 46', Moreno G. ↓, Pineda I. ↑,
- 46', Aguilar A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 46', Arce R. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 69', Estopier J. 🟨,
- 70', Estopier J. ↓, Espinosa Y. ↑,
- 77', Rengifo J. ↓, Acurio J. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Sarmiento M. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
- 87', Leyva C. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
- 87', Garcia L. ↓, Yanez S. ↑,
- 90+2', Galicia C. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
- 90+7', Martinez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Correcaminos UAT
44.3% | Draw
27.2% | Dorados
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Correcaminos UAT's form might have worsened.Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Correcaminos UAT - Dorados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.77) |
3.48 ↓
(3.89) |
3.31 ↓
(3.8) |
5.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Correcaminos UAT - Dorados?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dorados (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 3.
- In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
- Dorados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Correcaminos is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Correcaminos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Dorados?
Correcaminos UAT has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Correcaminos UAT?
Dorados has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Correcaminos UAT - Dorados were as follows:
20.02.2025
Correcaminos UAT
-
Dorados
3:1
07.09.2024
Dorados
-
Correcaminos UAT
3:1
13.02.2024
Dorados
-
Correcaminos UAT
3:0
22.07.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Dorados
2:0
16.04.2023
Dorados
-
Correcaminos UAT
0:1
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Latest results of Dorados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
