Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Alba Dorado J. L. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Rengifo J. ⚽, Coronel O. (A),
- 28', Reyes J. 🟨,
- 31', Di Pippa A. 🟨,
- 37', Galindo J. 🟨,
- 38', Yanez S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Galindo J. ↓, Pineda D. ↑,
- 53', Coronel O. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
- 53', Egana A. ↓, Galicia C. ↑,
- 57', Garcia L. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 58', Gomez Del Rosal N. ↓, Mina D. ↑,
- 58', Uribe H. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
- 58', Di Pippa A. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
- 65', Cisneros D. 🟨,
- 65', Delgadillo Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', 1 - 1, Delgadillo Y. ⚽,
- 76', Yanez S. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
- 76', Rengifo J. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dorados
41.3% | Draw
27.5% | Correcaminos UAT
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorados's performance.Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Correcaminos UAT might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorados that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Correcaminos UAT could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dorados - Correcaminos UAT Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(3.43) |
3.35 ↑
(2.9) |
2.96 ↑
(2.31) |
8.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dorados - Correcaminos UAT?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dorados will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Correcaminos will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Dorados (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dorados (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 2.
- Dorados is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Correcaminos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Correcaminos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Correcaminos UAT?
Dorados has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Dorados?
Correcaminos UAT has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorados - Correcaminos UAT were as follows:
17.10.2025
Correcaminos UAT
-
Dorados
1:0
20.02.2025
Correcaminos UAT
-
Dorados
3:1
07.09.2024
Dorados
-
Correcaminos UAT
3:1
13.02.2024
Dorados
-
Correcaminos UAT
3:0
22.07.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Dorados
2:0
Latest results of Dorados
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
