Result
3:6
26/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 10', 0 - 1, Calero J. (Pen),
- 14', 1 - 1, Velazquez H. ⚽,
- 32', Catalan A. 🟨,
- 45', Arce R. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Calero J. ⚽, Madrid W. (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 3, Calero J. ⚽, Catalan A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Espinosa Y. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 4, Guzman W. ⚽, Madrid W. (A),
- 56', Cisneros D. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 4, Martinez J. ⚽, Garcia J. (A),
- 64', Galvan P. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
- 67', Hernandez E. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 68', Arce R. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 5, Madrid W. ⚽, Calero J. (A),
- 77', Guzman W. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
- 77', Navarrete D. ↓, Grijalva A. ↑,
- 77', Velazquez H. ↓, Barron D. ↑,
- 81', Dominguez A. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
- 81', Calero J. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 6, Sancho J. ⚽,
- 85', 3 - 6, Martinez J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Correcaminos UAT
28.9% | Draw
25.5% | Venados
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Correcaminos UAT's form might have worsened.Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Venados's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Correcaminos UAT, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venados, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Correcaminos UAT - Venados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.52) |
3.79 ↑
(3.55) |
2.12 ↓
(2.43) |
3.5%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Correcaminos UAT - Venados?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Correcaminos (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Correcaminos (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 1.
- Correcaminos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Venados's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Correcaminos won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Venados?
Correcaminos UAT has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Correcaminos UAT?
Venados has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Correcaminos UAT - Venados were as follows:
20.03.2025
Correcaminos UAT
-
Venados
1:1
04.10.2024
Venados
-
Correcaminos UAT
5:1
23.03.2024
Correcaminos UAT
-
Venados
2:1
22.08.2023
Venados
-
Correcaminos UAT
4:3
10.01.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Venados
1:1
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Latest results of Venados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
