Result
1:1
20/03/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | TVC Deportes |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽,
- 32', Lopez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Trejo Castro M. A. 🟨,
- 55', Vidrio N. 🟨,
- 62', Pereyra J. 🟨,
- 65', Lora S. (Pen),
- 66', Lopez F. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
- 66', Amador K. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
- 66', Moreno G. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
- 74', Estopier J. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 79', Garcia M. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
- 79', Lora S. ↓, Madrid W. ↑,
- 81', Pineda I. 🟨,
- 83', Martinez J. ↓, Villareal A. ↑,
- 83', Salas F. ↓, Espinosa Y. ↑,
- 89', Miranda J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Gamez J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lopez F. ↓, Torres Sauri M. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Vidrio N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Correcaminos UAT
32.8% | Draw
25.6% | Venados
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Correcaminos UAT - Venados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↓
(3) |
3.6 ↓
(3.7) |
2.22 ↑
(2.08) |
8.4%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Correcaminos won 2.
- Recent matches Correcaminos is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Venados is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Venados could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Correcaminos won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:25 (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Correcaminos won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Venados?
Correcaminos UAT has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Correcaminos UAT?
Venados has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Correcaminos UAT - Venados were as follows:
04.10.2024
Venados
-
Correcaminos UAT
5:1
23.03.2024
Correcaminos UAT
-
Venados
2:1
22.08.2023
Venados
-
Correcaminos UAT
4:3
10.01.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Venados
1:1
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Latest results of Venados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
