Result
4:1
12/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 72', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 78', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Subiza
55.8% | Draw
26% | Cortes
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Cortes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Subiza - Cortes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.6) |
3.51 ↓
(3.7) |
5.01 ↓
(5.12) |
9.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Subiza won 4.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Cortes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Subiza is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Subiza won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Subiza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Subiza won against Cortes?
Subiza has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cortes won against Subiza?
Cortes has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Subiza - Cortes were as follows:
07.12.2025
Cortes
-
Subiza
0:2
03.02.2024
Cortes
-
Subiza
1:1
16.09.2023
Subiza
-
Cortes
1:0
16.04.2023
Subiza
-
Cortes
1:0
10.12.2022
Cortes
-
Subiza
1:3
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pena | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 56:34 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Pamplona | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 59:27 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Izarra | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 58:27 | 31 | 54 |
| 4 | Subiza | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | AD San Juan | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | Ezcabarte | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Cortes | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 43 |
| 8 | Txantrea | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45:58 | -13 | 40 |
| 9 | Beti Kozkor | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Huarte | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Cirbonero | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Valle Egues | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42:49 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Ardoi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 38:46 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | Bidezarra | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 27:37 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Aoiz | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Beti Onak | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 29 |
| 17 | CA Artajones | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 28 |
| 18 | Oberena | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28:55 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
