Result
1:1
02/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor, TRT Turk |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (410/479) | 84% (344/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (410/479) | 84% (344/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (28/51) | 59% (34/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (112/147) | 71% (51/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Samudio B. ⚽,
- 40', Kas E. 🟨,
- 43', Crociata G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Keser B. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
- 55', Fredy 🟨,
- 63', Akpinar M. ↓, Tozlu E. ↑,
- 63', Sylla C. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 65', Ildiz A. ↓, Yazgan F. ↑,
- 73', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Tozlu E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', Fredy ↓, Gurbulak O. ↑,
- 82', Erdogan Y. ↓, Coban B. ↑,
- 85', Pedrinho ↓, Thiam M. ↑,
- 88', Crociata G. ↓, Onal M. ↑,
- 90+2', Gurbulak O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Çorum 54.3% | Draw 24.7% | Erzurumspor 21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Çorum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Çorum's performance.Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erzurumspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çorum than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Çorum that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erzurumspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Çorum - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (2.09) |
3.75 ↑ (3.13) |
4.36 ↑ (3.42) |
8% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Çorum - Erzurumspor?
Users Predictions:
Çorum will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
- Erzurumspor is Qualified for Super Lig
- Çorum has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Erzurumspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Çorum is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Çorum: Cangoz A.
(Suspended)
Geraldo
(Inactive)
Karadag E.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Ozhan F.
(Suspended)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
Yigit E.
(Suspended)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Çorum won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Çorum won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Çorum won against Erzurumspor?
Çorum has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Çorum?
Erzurumspor has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Çorum - Erzurumspor were as follows:
28.12.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Çorum
1:0
09.04.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Çorum
1:1
30.11.2024
Çorum
-
Erzurumspor
0:1
28.04.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Çorum
2:1
10.12.2023
Çorum
-
Erzurumspor
4:1
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 55 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 39 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 46 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 24 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 32 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 30 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 2 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 0 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 4 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | -4 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | -31 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | -27 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | -69 | 14 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -147 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation