Coruripe vs Penedense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Alagoano - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
31
Corner kicks
47
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
117
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
86
Corner kicks
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 🟨,
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Negueba V. ,
  • 45+3', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 81', 1 - 1, Gabriel Guimaraes (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Coruripe
33.3%
Draw
32.9%
Penedense
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 31.2% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 30.1% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coruripe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruripe than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Coruripe - Penedense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.94)
    2.75
    (2.9)
    2.68
    (2.39)
    10.4%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 6)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coruripe won 0.
    • Recent form of Coruripe has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Penedense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Coruripe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Coruripe has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Penedense has had a series of home games.
    • Penedense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Coruripe won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coruripe won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coruripe - Penedense were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Penedense - Coruripe 3:0
    26.01.2025 Penedense - Coruripe 0:0
    24.03.2024 Penedense - Coruripe 1:0
    21.03.2024 Coruripe - Penedense 0:0
    25.01.2024 Coruripe - Penedense 0:0
    Latest results of Coruripe
    Latest results of Penedense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1ASA (1)Murici (4)3 : 0, 0 : 0
    2CSA (2)CRB (3)0 : 2, 0 : 2

    Final
    1ASA (1)CRB (3)0 : 3