Result
0:3
28/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tre Fiori 67.6% | Draw 21.6% | Cosmos 10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tre Fiori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tre Fiori's performance.Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cosmos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tre Fiori that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cosmos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tre Fiori - Cosmos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.66) |
4.22 ↑ (3.6) |
8.43 ↑ (4.74) |
9.9% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 3.
- Tre Fiori is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cosmos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Tre Fiori is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tre Fiori won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tre Fiori won against Cosmos?
Tre Fiori has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cosmos won against Tre Fiori?
Cosmos has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tre Fiori - Cosmos were as follows:
26.11.2025
Cosmos
-
Tre Fiori
0:4
30.08.2025
Cosmos
-
Tre Fiori
0:1
06.04.2025
Tre Fiori
-
Cosmos
1:3
20.02.2024
Cosmos
-
Tre Fiori
1:1
29.10.2023
Tre Fiori
-
Cosmos
5:0
Latest results of Tre Fiori
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 50:11 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Tre Fiori | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 48:9 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 50:13 | 37 | 53 |
| 4 | Folgore | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 51:24 | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 49:21 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 47:22 | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Cosmos | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 25:16 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Fiorentino | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Libertas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:47 | -20 | 25 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 21 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 13 | Faetano | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17:48 | -31 | 11 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15:48 | -33 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 23 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15:59 | -44 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)