Result
0:3
28/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tre Fiori
67.6% | Draw
21.6% | Cosmos
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tre Fiori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tre Fiori's performance.Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cosmos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tre Fiori that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cosmos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tre Fiori - Cosmos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.66) |
4.22 ↑
(3.6) |
8.43 ↑
(4.74) |
9.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 3.
- Tre Fiori is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cosmos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Tre Fiori is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tre Fiori won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tre Fiori won against Cosmos?
Tre Fiori has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cosmos won against Tre Fiori?
Cosmos has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tre Fiori - Cosmos were as follows:
26.11.2025
Cosmos
-
Tre Fiori
0:4
30.08.2025
Cosmos
-
Tre Fiori
0:1
06.04.2025
Tre Fiori
-
Cosmos
1:3
20.02.2024
Cosmos
-
Tre Fiori
1:1
29.10.2023
Tre Fiori
-
Cosmos
5:0
Latest results of Tre Fiori
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
