Dourados vs Costa Rica, Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense Dourados - Costa Rica
Result
2:1 penalties
24/03/2024 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SUL-MATOGROSSENSE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', 1 - 1, ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Dourados
50.8%
Draw
27%
Costa Rica
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 22.6% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 21.9% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dourados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dourados's form might have worsened.
  • Costa Rica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dourados than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dourados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa Rica than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Costa Rica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dourados - Costa Rica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.51)
    3.33
    (4)
    4.04
    (5.2)
    11.4%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
    • Dourados is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Costa Rica is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Dourados is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Dourados won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Dourados won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dourados - Costa Rica were as follows:
    17.03.2024 Costa Rica - Dourados 0:0
    Latest results of Dourados
    17.03.2024 Costa Rica - Dourados 0:0
    09.03.2024 Dourados - Ivinhema 1:0
    02.03.2024 Novoperário - Dourados 0:0
    21.02.2024 Dourados - Aquidauanense 1:1
    10.02.2024 Ivinhema - Dourados 1:2
    Latest results of Costa Rica
    23.03.2024 Costa Rica - Honduras 3:1
    17.03.2024 Costa Rica - Dourados 0:0
    09.03.2024 Coxim - Costa Rica 1:1
    21.02.2024 Costa Rica - América RN 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Ivinhema (1)Bye
    2Dourados (3)Aguia Negra (6)2 : 2, 1 : 2
    3Portuguesa MS (2)Bye
    4Operario MS (4)Costa Rica (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ivinhema (1)Aguia Negra (6)4 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Portuguesa MS (2)Operario MS (4)1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Ivinhema (1)Operario MS (4)0 : 1, 0 : 1