Counties Manukau vs Northland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Counties Manukau - Northland
Result
25:14
08/09/2024 at 00:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby

Match Stats

Tries
42
Conversion Goals
12
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (18 - 0)
  • 2', Alatimu A. M. (Try),
  • 21', Ofa T. (Try),
  • 31', Nanai-Seturo E. (Try),
  • 34', Hohepa R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (7 - 14)
  • 57', Apoua C. (Try),
  • 58', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Moulds M. (Try),
  • 69', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', Kingi J. (Try),
  • 73', Hohepa R. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Counties Manukau
52.9%
Draw
4.1%
Northland
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 3.9% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 4.5% 62.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Counties Manukau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Counties Manukau's performance.
  • Northland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Counties Manukau than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Counties Manukau that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northland than the current prediction. (+19.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Counties Manukau - Northland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.17)
    22.4
    (24)
    2.14
    (1.73)
    8.8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 60.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Northland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Counties Manukau won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 146-112.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Counties Manukau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 60-64.
    Latest results of Counties Manukau
    Latest results of Northland
    04.09.2024 Waikato - Northland 32:19
    30.08.2024 Northland - Southland 26:31
    23.08.2024 Hawkes Bay - Northland 55:30
    16.08.2024 Northland - Manawatu 35:18
    09.08.2024 Canterbury - Northland 34:21
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Hawke's Bay110054:144
    2Bay of Plenty110037:74
    3Taranaki110023:34
    4Canterbury110033:154
    5Manawatu110038:254
    6Otago110024:154
    7Waikato110036:354
    8Auckland100135:361
    9Southland100115:240
    10North Harbour100125:380
    11Wellington100115:330
    12Northland10013:230
    13Tasman10017:370
    14Counties Manukau100114:540

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