Counties Manukau vs Otago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Counties Manukau - Otago
Result
45:17
14/09/2024 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2

Match Stats

Tries
72
Conversion Goals
52
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (28 - 10)
  • 10', Miller C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 12', Church C. (Try),
  • 13', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 14', Malimali P. (Try),
  • 15', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 23', Malimali P. (Try),
  • 24', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Stodart W. (Try),
  • 35', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Hohepa R. (Try),
  • 40', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (17 - 7)
  • 47', Hurley F. (Try),
  • 48', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Malimali P. (Try),
  • 56', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Makiri B. (Try),
  • 79', Brash A. (Try),

Chances of winning


Counties Manukau
46.5%
Draw
4.3%
Otago
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 3.6% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 3.7% 63%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Counties Manukau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Counties Manukau's performance.
  • Otago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Otago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Counties Manukau than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Counties Manukau that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Counties Manukau - Otago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.67)
    21.33
    (26)
    1.87
    (1.5)
    8.7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Counties Manukau - Otago?
  • Users Predictions: Counties Manukau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:28.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Counties Manukau won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Otago could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Otago have a series of home games.
    • In this match Otago is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Counties Manukau won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 196-167.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Counties Manukau won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 136-75.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Counties Manukau - Otago were as follows:
    30.09.2023 Otago - Counties Manukau 38:22
    Latest results of Counties Manukau
    Latest results of Otago
    11.09.2024 Otago - Wellington 28:32
    07.09.2024 Otago - Canterbury 16:34
    30.08.2024 Taranaki - Otago 22:18
    24.08.2024 Otago - Bay of Plenty 31:26
    16.08.2024 Otago - Auckland 27:25
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Taranaki110023:34
    2Canterbury110033:154
    3Manawatu110038:254
    4Otago110024:154
    5Waikato110036:354
    6Auckland100135:361
    7Bay of Plenty00000:00
    8Counties Manukau00000:00
    9Hawke's Bay00000:00
    10Tasman00000:00
    11Southland100115:240
    12North Harbour100125:380
    13Wellington100115:330
    14Northland10013:230

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