Wellington vs Counties Manukau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Wellington - Counties Manukau
Result
29:14
11/10/2024 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (19 - 7)
  • 6', Higgins R. (Try),
  • 8', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Togiatama Z. 🟨,
  • 21', Kirifi D. (Try),
  • 22', Garden-Bachop J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 25', Proctor B. (Try),
  • 27', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Brash A. (Try),
  • 34', Alatimu A. M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 7)
  • 51', Perenara T. (Try),
  • 52', Garden-Bachop J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 56', Roigard C. (Try),
  • 57', Hohepa R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Preston K. (Try),
  • 76', Love R. (Missed Conversion),

Chances of winning


Wellington
77.3%
Draw
3%
Counties Manukau
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 3.4% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 2.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington's performance.
  • Counties Manukau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Counties Manukau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wellington that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Counties Manukau than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Counties Manukau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wellington - Counties Manukau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.33)
    30.44
    (27)
    4.71
    (3.48)
    8.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 59.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
  • What is the prediction for Wellington - Counties Manukau?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Counties Manukau will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 37:23.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 4.
    • Recent matches Wellington is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Counties Manukau is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Wellington is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Wellington won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 400:269 (average 40:26.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 126:57 (average 42:19).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington - Counties Manukau were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Counties Manukau - Wellington 51:14
    02.09.2023 Wellington - Counties Manukau 56:25
    01.10.2022 Counties Manukau - Wellington 31:64
    Latest results of Wellington
    04.10.2024 Wellington - Hawkes Bay 46:28
    27.09.2024 Counties Manukau - Wellington 51:14
    20.09.2024 Wellington - Bay of Plenty 30:25
    14.09.2024 Tasman - Wellington 28:15
    11.09.2024 Otago - Wellington 28:32
    Latest results of Counties Manukau
    04.10.2024 Manawatu - Counties Manukau 26:45
    27.09.2024 Counties Manukau - Wellington 51:14
    20.09.2024 Canterbury - Counties Manukau 36:28
    14.09.2024 Counties Manukau - Otago 45:17
    08.09.2024 Counties Manukau - Northland 25:14
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Bay of Plenty110037:74
    2Taranaki110023:34
    3Canterbury110033:154
    4Manawatu110038:254
    5Otago110024:154
    6Waikato110036:354
    7Auckland100135:361
    8Counties Manukau00000:00
    9Hawke's Bay00000:00
    10Southland100115:240
    11North Harbour100125:380
    12Wellington100115:330
    13Northland10013:230
    14Tasman10017:370

          Promotion ~ Bunnings NPC (Play Offs: )