Covadonga vs Caudal Deportivo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Covadonga
37.1%
Draw
32.7%
Caudal Deportivo
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 28% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 27.2% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.
  • Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.02)
    2.8
    (3.25)
    3.02
    (3.37)
    9.4%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 0.
    • Covadonga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Caudal Deportivo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Covadonga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Covadonga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Covadonga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga 1:0
    15.12.2024 Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo 0:0
    26.03.2023 Caudal Deportivo - Covadonga 1:1
    27.11.2022 Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo 1:1
    Latest results of Covadonga
    02.11.2025 Club Siero - Covadonga 2:1
    26.10.2025 Covadonga - Navarro 2:0
    11.10.2025 Covadonga - Praviano 2:1
    05.10.2025 Lenense - Covadonga 1:4
    Latest results of Caudal Deportivo
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Llanera24194150:173361
    2Covadonga24185158:144459
    3Gijon B24139254:193548
    4Caudal Deportivo24136542:291345
    5Mosconia24126638:182042
    6L'Entregu2499628:27136
    7CD Colunga2497829:35-634
    8Union Club Ceares2489725:20533
    9EI San Martin2488826:28-232
    10Club Siero2487932:32031
    11Llanes24612632:31130
    12Praviano24771023:31-828
    13Aviles Stadium24411914:29-1523
    14SD Navarro CF243101126:40-1419
    15Gijon Industrial24381319:42-2317
    16Lenense24291318:42-2415
    17Tuilla24351618:45-2714
    18Real Titanico24181515:48-3311

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation