Result
0:0
04/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Covadonga
72.1% | Draw
18.5% | Llanes
9.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covadonga's performance.Llanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanes than the current prediction. (+3%)
Covadonga - Llanes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.37) |
4.94 ↑
(4.41) |
9.69 ↑
(7) |
9.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Covadonga - Llanes?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Covadonga (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Covadonga (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Covadonga (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 3.
- Covadonga is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Llanes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Llanes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Covadonga is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Covadonga will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Covadonga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against Llanes?
Covadonga has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llanes won against Covadonga?
Llanes has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Llanes were as follows:
05.03.2023
Llanes
-
Covadonga
1:3
30.10.2022
Covadonga
-
Llanes
0:0
Latest results of Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 58:14 | 44 | 59 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 54:19 | 35 | 48 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:18 | 20 | 42 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | CD Colunga | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | EI San Martin | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Llanes | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Praviano | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | SD Navarro CF | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 19 |
| 15 | Gijon Industrial | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Lenense | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:45 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 15:48 | -33 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
