Result
0:0
04/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Covadonga
72.1% | Draw
18.5% | Llanes
9.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covadonga's performance.Llanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanes than the current prediction. (+3%)
Covadonga - Llanes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.37) |
4.94 ↑
(4.41) |
9.69 ↑
(7) |
9.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Covadonga - Llanes?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Covadonga (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Covadonga will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Covadonga (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 3.
- Covadonga is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Llanes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Llanes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Covadonga is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Covadonga will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Covadonga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against Llanes?
Covadonga has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llanes won against Covadonga?
Llanes has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Llanes were as follows:
05.03.2023
Llanes
-
Covadonga
1:3
30.10.2022
Covadonga
-
Llanes
0:0
Latest results of Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 75:21 | 54 | 71 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 71:24 | 47 | 58 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50:35 | 15 | 57 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 43:25 | 18 | 51 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | EI San Martin | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | CD Colunga | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 38 |
| 9 | Union Club Ceares | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Praviano | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 | Llanes | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Club Siero | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Lenense | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 15 | SD Navarro CF | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 34:46 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Gijon Industrial | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 25 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 26:52 | -26 | 24 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 30 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 18:65 | -47 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
