Covadonga vs Mosconia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Elena A. ,

Chances of winning


Covadonga
61.8%
Draw
24.3%
Mosconia
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 26.8% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 25.5% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covadonga's performance.
  • Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mosconia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covadonga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mosconia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Covadonga - Mosconia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.79)
    4.01
    (3.4)
    6.99
    (4.1)
    2.8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 3.
    • Covadonga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Mosconia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Covadonga is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Covadonga will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Covadonga won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Mosconia were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Mosconia - Covadonga 1:2
    12.10.2024 Covadonga - Mosconia 1:1
    Latest results of Covadonga
    16.11.2025 Ceares - Covadonga 2:3
    02.11.2025 Club Siero - Covadonga 2:1
    26.10.2025 Covadonga - Navarro 2:0
    Latest results of Mosconia
    16.11.2025 Mosconia - Avilés Stadium 2:0
    09.11.2025 Llanera - Mosconia 1:0
    02.11.2025 Mosconia - Real Titánico 5:0
    26.10.2025 Llanes - Mosconia 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Llanera27215156:183868
    2Covadonga27195365:194662
    3Gijon B27159361:204154
    4Caudal Deportivo27156645:331251
    5Mosconia27147642:192349
    6L'Entregu27119733:32142
    7CD Colunga271071031:42-1137
    8Union Club Ceares2799927:25236
    9EI San Martin2799929:31-236
    10Llanes27712837:37033
    11Club Siero27881133:39-632
    12Praviano27881127:34-732
    13Aviles Stadium275121016:30-1427
    14SD Navarro CF274111231:44-1323
    15Lenense274101323:45-2222
    16Gijon Industrial274101323:45-2222
    17Tuilla27451820:49-2917
    18Real Titanico27181816:53-3711

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation