Result
1:2
02/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Cueto G. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Leiza P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mosconia 13.3% | Draw 29.6% | Covadonga 57.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mosconia's form might have worsened.Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Covadonga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mosconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Covadonga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mosconia - Covadonga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.09 ↑ (3.45) |
3.63 ↑ (3.2) |
1.88 ↓ (2.05) |
-6.8% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Covadonga might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mosconia won against Covadonga?
Mosconia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against Mosconia?
Covadonga has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mosconia - Covadonga were as follows:
23.11.2025
Covadonga
-
Mosconia
1:0
23.02.2025
Mosconia
-
Covadonga
1:2
12.10.2024
Covadonga
-
Mosconia
1:1
Latest results of Mosconia
Latest results of Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 75:21 | 54 | 71 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 71:24 | 47 | 58 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50:35 | 15 | 57 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 43:25 | 18 | 51 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | EI San Martin | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | CD Colunga | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 38 |
| 9 | Union Club Ceares | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Praviano | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 | Llanes | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Club Siero | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Lenense | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 15 | SD Navarro CF | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 34:46 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Gijon Industrial | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 25 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 26:52 | -26 | 24 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 30 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 18:65 | -47 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation