Mosconia vs Covadonga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
02/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Cueto G. ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Leiza P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 79', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Mosconia
13.3%
Draw
29.6%
Covadonga
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 28.7% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 28.6% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mosconia's form might have worsened.
  • Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Covadonga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mosconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Covadonga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mosconia - Covadonga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.09
    (3.45)
    3.63
    (3.2)
    1.88
    (2.05)
    -6.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Covadonga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mosconia - Covadonga were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Covadonga - Mosconia 1:0
    23.02.2025 Mosconia - Covadonga 1:2
    12.10.2024 Covadonga - Mosconia 1:1
    Latest results of Mosconia
    29.03.2026 Avilés Stadium - Mosconia 2:0
    22.03.2026 Mosconia - Llanera 1:1
    14.03.2026 Real Titánico - Mosconia 0:2
    08.03.2026 Mosconia - Llanes 1:0
    Latest results of Covadonga
    28.03.2026 Covadonga - Ceares 6:1
    15.03.2026 Covadonga - Club Siero 5:0
    08.03.2026 Navarro - Covadonga 3:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Llanera30254161:174479
    2Covadonga30225375:215471
    3Gijon B301610471:244758
    4Caudal Deportivo30176750:351557
    5Mosconia30156943:251851
    6L'Entregu301210838:33546
    7EI San Martin301191031:32-142
    8CD Colunga301081231:45-1438
    9Union Club Ceares30991230:36-636
    10Praviano30991230:37-736
    11Llanes307131042:45-334
    12Club Siero30881436:47-1132
    13Aviles Stadium306141018:30-1232
    14Lenense306101430:51-2128
    15SD Navarro CF305131234:46-1228
    16Gijon Industrial305101527:50-2325
    17Tuilla30661826:52-2624
    18Real Titanico30282018:65-4714

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation