Coventry City vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 40
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.52
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
75% (251/334)75% (255/339)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.522.32
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
2718
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1814
Passes
75% (251/334)75% (255/339)
Long passes
50% (28/56)23% (13/56)
Passes in final third
59% (67/113)57% (64/113)
Crosses
19% (3/16)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.61
Fouls
1418
Tackles
50% (9/18)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5653
Clearances Total
2338
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.321.52
Goals prevented
0.320.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Wright H. ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Anthony J. , Foster L. (A),
  • 18', Kitching L. 🟨,
  • 19', Brownhill J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 2, Anthony J. ,
  • 69', Edwards M. , Flemming Z. ,
  • 70', Egan-Riley C. 🟨,
  • 74', Allen J. , Torp V. ,
  • 76', Brownhill J. , Mejbri H. ,
  • 82', Sakamoto T. , Simms E. ,
  • 84', Mejbri H. 🟨,
  • 88', Foster L. , Sarmiento J. ,
  • 90+1', van Ewijk M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Laurent J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Coventry City
28.3%
Draw
29.5%
Burnley
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 29.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 29.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Coventry City - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (2.85)
    3.24
    (3.19)
    2.28
    (2.51)
    4.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Coventry City - Burnley?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Burnley (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Burnley will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burnley will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent matches Coventry is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Burnley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Muscle Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Humphreys B. (Hip Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Shelvey J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Coventry: Kitching L. (Illness) Thomas-Asante B. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Coventry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Coventry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coventry City - Burnley were as follows:
    26.11.2024 Burnley - Coventry City 2:0
    14.01.2023 Burnley - Coventry City 1:0
    08.10.2022 Coventry City - Burnley 0:1
    Latest results of Coventry City
    Latest results of Burnley
    29.03.2025 Burnley - Bristol City 1:0
    15.03.2025 Swansea City - Burnley 0:2
    08.03.2025 Burnley - Luton Town 4:0
    04.03.2025 Cardiff City - Burnley 1:2
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry39248781:404180
    2Middlesbrough392011859:372271
    3Ipswich381912767:392869
    4Millwall392091053:44969
    5Hull392061362:57566
    6Southampton3917121063:481563
    7Wrexham3917121060:51963
    8Derby391791356:48860
    9Watford3914141150:46456
    10Norwich391661752:46654
    11Birmingham3914111448:49-153
    12QPR391581655:61-653
    13Preston3913131345:49-452
    14Swansea391571744:49-552
    15Stoke391491646:43351
    16Bristol City391491649:50-151
    17Sheffield Utd391551954:54050
    18Charlton3912121536:46-1048
    19Blackburn3911101836:49-1343
    20West Brom3911101840:54-1443
    21Portsmouth3810101837:54-1740
    22Leicester3911121651:60-939
    23Oxford Utd399121836:51-1539
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 39192924:79-55-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One