Leixões vs Covilhã – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Leixões - Covilhã
Result
3:2
15/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 28
  • Referee: Oliveira M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Chances of winning


Leixões
46.9%
Draw
27.4%
Covilhã
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 29% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 22.9% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leixões that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covilhã could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leixões - Covilhã Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.97)
    3.35
    (3.17)
    3.59
    (3.74)
    8.8%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Leixões - Covilhã?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leixões: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leixões won 2.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Leixões will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 21 head-to-head matches Leixões won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-22.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Covilhã were as follows:
    30.10.2022 Covilhã - Leixões 1:2
    Latest results of Leixões
    08.04.2023 Tondela - Leixões 2:3
    19.03.2023 Porto B - Leixões 4:0
    05.03.2023 Farense - Leixões 1:0
    Latest results of Covilhã
    08.04.2023 Torreense - Covilhã 3:1
    12.03.2023 Covilhã - Benfica B 2:1
    05.03.2023 Nacional - Covilhã 2:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela32107:257
    2Leixoes32107:347
    3Sporting CP B32012:116
    4Maritimo32012:116
    5Torreense32015:236
    6Lusitania FC31204:315
    7Oliveirense31202:115
    8Feirense31114:224
    9Leiria31113:304
    10SC Farense31113:4-14
    11Portimonense31114:6-24
    12Chaves30304:403
    13Benfica B30303:303
    14Pacos Ferreira30211:2-12
    15Penafiel30123:5-21
    16Academico Viseu30123:5-21
    17Felgueiras30121:5-41
    18FC Porto B30120:6-61

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