Result
3:2
15/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 28
- Referee: Oliveira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Leixões
46.9% | Draw
27.4% | Covilhã
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leixões that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covilhã could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leixões - Covilhã Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(1.97) |
3.35 ↑
(3.17) |
3.59 ↓
(3.74) |
8.8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leixões - Covilhã?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leixões: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Leixões won 2.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Leixões will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 21 head-to-head matches Leixões won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-22.
- Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Covilhã?
Leixões has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Leixões?
Covilhã has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Covilhã were as follows:
30.10.2022
Covilhã
-
Leixões
1:2
Latest results of Leixões
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:27 | 5 | 42 |
| 4 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Vizela | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 35:31 | 4 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37:25 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Feirense | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Benfica B | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36:32 | 4 | 34 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 31 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 22:25 | -3 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:32 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | Oliveirense | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 27 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
