Vilafranquense vs Covilhã – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Vilafranquense - Covilhã
Result
0:0
14/05/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 32
  • Referee: Almeida N. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vilafranquense
43.6%
Draw
28.7%
Covilhã
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.3% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 26.5% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilafranquense's form might have worsened.
  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Covilhã's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilafranquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Covilhã, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vilafranquense - Covilhã Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.86)
    3.21
    (3.43)
    3.32
    (4.19)
    8.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vilafranquense - Covilhã?
  • Users Predictions: Vilafranquense will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 0.
    • Vilafranquense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Covilhã is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Vilafranquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Vilafranquense will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vilafranquense - Covilhã were as follows:
    08.01.2023 Covilhã - Vilafranquense 0:0
    Latest results of Vilafranquense
    Latest results of Covilhã
    06.05.2023 Covilhã - Oliveirense 2:1
    24.04.2023 Covilhã - Mafra 1:2
    15.04.2023 Leixões - Covilhã 3:2
    08.04.2023 Torreense - Covilhã 3:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela32107:257
    2Leixoes32107:347
    3Sporting CP B32012:116
    4Maritimo32012:116
    5Torreense32015:236
    6Lusitania FC31204:315
    7Oliveirense31202:115
    8Feirense31114:224
    9Leiria31113:304
    10SC Farense31113:4-14
    11Portimonense31114:6-24
    12Chaves30304:403
    13Benfica B30303:303
    14Pacos Ferreira30211:2-12
    15Penafiel30123:5-21
    16Academico Viseu30123:5-21
    17Felgueiras30121:5-41
    18FC Porto B30120:6-61

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3