Vilafranquense vs Covilhã – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Vilafranquense - Covilhã
Result
0:0
14/05/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 32
  • Referee: Almeida N. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vilafranquense
43.6%
Draw
28.7%
Covilhã
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.3% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 26.5% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilafranquense's form might have worsened.
  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Covilhã's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilafranquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Covilhã, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vilafranquense - Covilhã Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.86)
    3.21
    (3.43)
    3.32
    (4.19)
    8.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vilafranquense - Covilhã?
  • Users Predictions: Vilafranquense will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 0.
    • Vilafranquense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Covilhã is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Vilafranquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Vilafranquense will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vilafranquense - Covilhã were as follows:
    08.01.2023 Covilhã - Vilafranquense 0:0
    Latest results of Vilafranquense
    Latest results of Covilhã
    06.05.2023 Covilhã - Oliveirense 2:1
    24.04.2023 Covilhã - Mafra 1:2
    15.04.2023 Leixões - Covilhã 3:2
    08.04.2023 Torreense - Covilhã 3:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

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