CP Almería vs Atlético Porcuna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
30/03/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 28

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Estrella J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 66', 0 - 2, Pegalajar ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Lopez J. ,
  • 90+3', 🟥,

Chances of winning


CP Almería
38%
Draw
27.7%
Atlético Porcuna
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 28.2% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 26.8% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CP Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CP Almería's performance.
  • Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Porcuna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CP Almería than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CP Almería that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Porcuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • CP Almería - Atlético Porcuna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.99)
    3.27
    (3.23)
    2.63
    (2.2)
    10.7%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • CP Almería could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches CP Almería won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    • Including matches at home between the teams CP Almería won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    Latest results of CP Almería
    23.03.2025 Motril - CP Almería 4:0
    09.03.2025 El Ejido - CP Almería 5:1
    28.02.2025 CP Almería - Huétor Vega 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético Porcuna
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mijas Las Lagunas33198642:202265
    2Motril321710553:282561
    3Torre del Mar331413636:241255
    4Arenas Armilla33159937:271054
    5Torredonjimeno331311939:36350
    6Churriana de la Vega3313101030:40-1049
    7Marbelli331391134:28648
    8UD San Pedro3312101137:36146
    9Atletico de Porcuna331441540:37346
    10Granada CF B3310131045:43243
    11Huetor Vega331191339:42-342
    12CD Alhaurino331191340:40042
    13Melilla B329111229:29038
    14Martos339101432:44-1237
    15Mancha33991529:37-836
    16Huetor Tajar338101537:43-634
    17CD Torreperogil33861922:44-2230
    18El Palo33691828:51-2327

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