Result
0:3
19/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (380/474) | 73% (268/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (380/474) | 73% (268/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (29/64) | 27% (17/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (84/141) | 53% (39/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/34) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 33', 0 - 1, Czerwinski A. (Own goal),
- 40', 0 - 2, Henriksson G. ⚽,
- 45+2', Galan B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 0 - 3, Stojilkovic F. ⚽, Klich M. (A),
- 62', Shkurin I. ↓, Rosolek M. ↑,
- 62', Blad A. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 62', Milewski S. ↓, Bosch J. ↑,
- 63', Sutalo B. ↓, Pila D. ↑,
- 63', Minchev M. 🟨,
- 65', Bosch J. 🟨,
- 69', Minchev M. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
- 69', Maigaard M. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,
- 77', Nowak B. ↓, Markovic E. ↑,
- 82', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 82', Klich M. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
- 84', Wasielewski M. ↓, Gruszkowski K. ↑,
Chances of winning
GKS Katowice
21.8% | Draw
28.4% | Cracovia
49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Katowice's form might have worsened.Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cracovia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Katowice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cracovia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
GKS Katowice - Cracovia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.21 ↑
(2.57) |
4.46 ↑
(3.62) |
2.33 ↓
(2.5) |
-18.5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Cracovia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Cracovia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Paluszek A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
Hasic A.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Cracovia?
GKS Katowice has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against GKS Katowice?
Cracovia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Cracovia were as follows:
11.05.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Cracovia
2:1
09.11.2024
Cracovia
-
GKS Katowice
3:4
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Latest results of Cracovia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
