Result
5:2
10/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 4
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 2.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (407/489) | 72% (201/280) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 2.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.77 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (407/489) | 72% (201/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 31% (17/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (120/155) | 60% (49/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 3.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Stojilkovic F. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Pietuszewski O. ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 2, Kakabadze O. ⚽, Minchev M. (A),
- 42', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
- 44', Maigaard M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Stojinovic D. ↑,
- 46', Jackson A. ↓, Imaz J. ↑,
- 46', Wojcik O. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 2, Pululu A. (Pen),
- 56', Prip L. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
- 64', Drachal D. 🟨,
- 65', Olafsson D. 🟨,
- 69', Perkovic M. 🟥,
- 71', Al Ammari A. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 2, Romanczuk T. ⚽, Wdowik B. (A),
- 79', Drachal D. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
- 79', Olafsson D. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 80', Minchev M. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
- 82', 4 - 2, Pozo A. ⚽, Imaz J. (A),
- 86', Pululu A. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 88', 5 - 2, Rallis D. ⚽, Wojtuszek N. (A),
- 90+2', Stojilkovic F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
47% | Draw
27.9% | Cracovia
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia Białystok's performance.Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.15) |
3.4 ↑
(3.03) |
3.72 ↑
(3.08) |
5.7%
(12%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Cracovia will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Cracovia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 1.
- Jagiellonia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cracovia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cracovia has had a series of home games.
- Jagiellonia could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
Rakoczy M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Cracovia?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Cracovia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia were as follows:
23.02.2025
Cracovia
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:2
17.08.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Cracovia
2:4
14.04.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Cracovia
1:3
08.10.2023
Cracovia
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:4
20.05.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Cracovia
1:1
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Cracovia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Widzew Lodz | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Pogon Szczecin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
