Result
2:3
27/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 23
- Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (293/382) | 77% (309/402) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (293/382) | 77% (309/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (15/57) | 38% (25/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (65/100) | 61% (70/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Kameri D. ⚽, Henriksson G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Katsantonis A. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
- 49', Kameri D. 🟨,
- 50', Lewicki J. 🟨,
- 53', Wojcik O. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Barkovskiy G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Dominguez M. ↓, Minchev M. ↑,
- 59', Kameri D. ↓, Tabisz M. ↑,
- 69', Sans P. ↓, Batoum J. ↑,
- 72', Sanca L. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
- 72', Boisgard Q. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Minchev M. ⚽, Al Ammari A. (A),
- 80', Henriksson G. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 2, Felix J. ⚽,
- 83', Vallejo H. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
- 83', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
- 86', Al Ammari A. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 3, Chrapek M. ⚽, Lesniak O. (A),
Chances of winning
Cracovia
41.9% | Draw
30.5% | Piast Gliwice
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cracovia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Cracovia - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.13) |
3.04 ↑
(2.94) |
3.39 ↑
(3.23) |
7.2%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cracovia - Piast Gliwice?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Piast will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Cracovia (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cracovia could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cracovia: Kakabadze O.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Piast: Boisgard Q.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cracovia: Perkovic M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Piast: Drapinski I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Piast Gliwice?
Cracovia has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Cracovia?
Piast Gliwice has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
24.08.2025
Piast Gliwice
-
Cracovia
0:0
08.12.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Cracovia
0:0
21.07.2024
Cracovia
-
Piast Gliwice
1:1
23.02.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Cracovia
0:0
21.08.2023
Cracovia
-
Piast Gliwice
1:1
Latest results of Cracovia
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zaglebie | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Rakow | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Legia | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
