Cracovia vs Warta Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Cracovia - Warta Poznań
Result
0:1
01/03/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 23
  • Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
franceFranceCanal+ Family
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Chances of winning


Cracovia
53.8%
Draw
27.8%
Warta Poznań
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 28% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 26.1% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cracovia's performance.
  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Poznań might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warta Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cracovia - Warta Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.93)
    3.37
    (3.2)
    5.1
    (3.5)
    6.8%
    (11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cracovia - Warta Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Warta will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 36.2%76.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 0.
    • Cracovia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Warta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cracovia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Warta have a series of home games.
    • In this match Cracovia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Injury) Jugas J. (Injury) Rasmussen M. (Injury) Smiglewski K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Warta: Przybylko K. (Injury) Zrelak A. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Cracovia to win the game is with odds 1.78.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cracovia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Warta Poznań were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Warta Poznań - Cracovia 0:0
    08.07.2023 Warta Poznań - Cracovia 1:1
    12.03.2023 Warta Poznań - Cracovia 0:0
    28.08.2022 Cracovia - Warta Poznań 0:2
    Latest results of Cracovia
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Cracovia22006:156
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B31115:324
    6Pogon Szczecin31116:7-14
    7Legia11002:023
    8Widzew Lodz21013:303
    9Rakow21012:203
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14GKS Katowice20112:3-11
    15Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1