Bolton Wanderers vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
08/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 31
  • Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.85
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
1811
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
73
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
179
Offsides
25
Fouls
917
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2810
Touches in the Opposition Box
3818
Passes
84% (447/535)72% (195/269)
Passes in the final third
71% (147/207)59% (46/78)
Crosses
17% (5/30)44% (4/9)
Tackles
50% (9/18)71% (20/28)
Clearances Total
1941
Interceptions
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Sheehan J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 3)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Hepburn-Murphy R. , John-Jules T. (A),
  • 53', 1 - 1, Osei-Tutu J. , Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
  • 54', 1 - 2, Swan W. , Forster H. (A),
  • 61', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 3, Hepburn-Murphy R. , Doyle K. (A),
  • 63', Doyle K. , Showunmi T. ,
  • 63', Forster H. , Feely R. ,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Murphy A. , Sheehan J. (A),
  • 69', Dacres-Cogley J. , Jones G. ,
  • 69', Schon S. , Lolos K. ,
  • 69', Murphy A. , Johnston G. ,
  • 70', Randall J. , Adeboyejo V. ,
  • 70', Swan W. , Adeyemo A. ,
  • 72', Barker C. 🟨,
  • 80', Camara P. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 84', Feely R. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 3, Sheehan J. ,
  • 89', Feely R. 🟥,
  • 90', Forrester W. , Matete J. ,
  • 90+8', Showunmi T. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 4 - 3, Barker C. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
61.9%
Draw
21.2%
Crawley Town
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 19.9% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8% 19% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.43)
    4.44
    (4.7)
    5.66
    (6.49)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Crawley will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 59%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Recent matches Bolton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Crawley is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Bolton is certain favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Crawley Town - Bolton Wanderers 0:2
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two