Bolton Wanderers vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
08/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 31
  • Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.85
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
1811
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
73
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
179
Offsides
25
Fouls
917
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2810
Touches in the Opposition Box
3818
Passes
84% (447/535)72% (195/269)
Passes in the final third
71% (147/207)59% (46/78)
Crosses
17% (5/30)44% (4/9)
Tackles
50% (9/18)71% (20/28)
Clearances Total
1941
Interceptions
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Sheehan J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 3)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Hepburn-Murphy R. , John-Jules T. (A),
  • 53', 1 - 1, Osei-Tutu J. , Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
  • 54', 1 - 2, Swan W. , Forster H. (A),
  • 61', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 3, Hepburn-Murphy R. , Doyle K. (A),
  • 63', Doyle K. , Showunmi T. ,
  • 63', Forster H. , Feely R. ,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Murphy A. , Sheehan J. (A),
  • 69', Dacres-Cogley J. , Jones G. ,
  • 69', Schon S. , Lolos K. ,
  • 69', Murphy A. , Johnston G. ,
  • 70', Randall J. , Adeboyejo V. ,
  • 70', Swan W. , Adeyemo A. ,
  • 72', Barker C. 🟨,
  • 80', Camara P. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 84', Feely R. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 3, Sheehan J. ,
  • 89', Feely R. 🟥,
  • 90', Forrester W. , Matete J. ,
  • 90+8', Showunmi T. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 4 - 3, Barker C. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
61.9%
Draw
21.2%
Crawley Town
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 19.9% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8% 19% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.43)
    4.44
    (4.7)
    5.66
    (6.49)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Crawley will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 59%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Recent matches Bolton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Crawley is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Bolton is certain favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Crawley Town - Bolton Wanderers 0:2
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two