Result
1:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 4
- Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (183/287) | 60% (150/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (183/287) | 60% (150/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (20/71) | 29% (20/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (48/102) | 52% (60/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Tomlinson J. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 45+3', McKirdy H. 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 0, Adeyemo A. ⚽, McKirdy H. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Williams J. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
- 53', Flint J. 🟨,
- 54', Gilbey A. 🟨,
- 59', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
- 65', Collar W. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Offord L. ⚽, Jones G. (A),
- 72', Anderson M. 🟨,
- 78', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 81', Tshimanga K. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
- 81', McKirdy H. ↓, Flower L. ↑,
- 84', Adeyemo A. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
- 85', Watson L. ↓, Brown R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crawley Town
23.5% | Draw
24.5% | Milton Keynes Dons
52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.98 ↑
(3.62) |
3.79 ↑
(3.54) |
1.8 ↓
(1.99) |
7.1%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 3.
- Crawley is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, MK Dons is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Crawley: Showunmi T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H.
(Injury)
Pereira D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Sherring S.
(Inactive)
- We predict that MK Dons will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Crawley Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
11.05.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Crawley Town
1:5
07.05.2024
Crawley Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
3:0
29.12.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Crawley Town
2:0
15.08.2023
Crawley Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Swindon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Bromley | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Crewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Salford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Harrogate | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Colchester | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Oldham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Barnet | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | Crawley | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 23 | Cheltenham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 24 | Accrington | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
