Crawley Town vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
1:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 4
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.66
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
811
Passes
64% (183/287)60% (150/248)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.261.57
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
913
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
811
Touches in opposition box
2530
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1122
Passes
64% (183/287)60% (150/248)
Long passes
28% (20/71)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
47% (48/102)52% (60/115)
Crosses
25% (4/16)21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.971.26
Throw-ins
2128
Fouls
2211
Tackles
80% (8/10)47% (7/15)
Duels won
6270
Clearances
4954
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
1.571.26
Goals prevented
0.570.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Tomlinson J. , Nemane A. ,
  • 45+3', McKirdy H. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 1 - 0, Adeyemo A. , McKirdy H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Williams J. , Anderson M. ,
  • 53', Flint J. 🟨,
  • 54', Gilbey A. 🟨,
  • 59', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
  • 65', Collar W. , Hogan S. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Offord L. , Jones G. (A),
  • 72', Anderson M. 🟨,
  • 78', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Leko J. ,
  • 81', Tshimanga K. , Showunmi T. ,
  • 81', McKirdy H. , Flower L. ,
  • 84', Adeyemo A. , Roles J. ,
  • 85', Watson L. , Brown R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
23.5%
Draw
24.5%
Milton Keynes Dons
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 26.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 25.8% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.98
    (3.62)
    3.79
    (3.54)
    1.8
    (1.99)
    7.1%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.26%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 3.
    • Crawley is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, MK Dons is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Crawley: Showunmi T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury) Pereira D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Inactive)
    • We predict that MK Dons will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 1:5
    07.05.2024 Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0
    29.12.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 2:0
    15.08.2023 Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League