Crawley Town vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

League Two - Round 4
Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.66
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
8	11
Passes
64% (183/287)	60% (150/248)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.26	1.57
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
9	13
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
8	11
Touches in opposition box
25	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	22
Passes
64% (183/287)	60% (150/248)
Long passes
28% (20/71)	29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
47% (48/102)	52% (60/115)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	1.26
Throw-ins
21	28
Fouls
22	11
Tackles
80% (8/10)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
62	70
Clearances
49	54
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	5
xGOT faced
1.57	1.26
Goals prevented
0.57	0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Tomlinson J. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
45+3', McKirdy H. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 0, Adeyemo A. ⚽, McKirdy H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Williams J. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
53', Flint J. 🟨,
54', Gilbey A. 🟨,
59', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
65', Collar W. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Offord L. ⚽, Jones G. (A),
72', Anderson M. 🟨,
78', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
81', Tshimanga K. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
81', McKirdy H. ↓, Flower L. ↑,
84', Adeyemo A. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
85', Watson L. ↓, Brown R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crawley Town
23.5%

Draw
24.5%

Milton Keynes Dons
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

26.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.8%

48.8%

Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.62)	3.79 ↑ (3.54)	1.8 ↓ (1.99)	7.1% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.75 - MK Dons (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 6.3%). MK Dons (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 3.
Crawley is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, MK Dons is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Crawley: Showunmi T. (Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury) Pereira D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Inactive)
We predict that MK Dons will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Crawley Town?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

11.05.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 1:5

07.05.2024 Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0

29.12.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 2:0

15.08.2023 Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1

Latest results of Crawley Town

16.08.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town 1:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Swansea City - Crawley Town 3:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Crawley Town - Newport County 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺

25.07.2025 Crawley Town - Crystal Palace 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

16.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 5:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 0:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	26	15	7	4	44:27	17	52
2	Swindon	25	14	4	7	41:29	12	46
3	Walsall	25	14	4	7	35:24	11	46
4	Salford	25	14	4	7	38:33	5	46
5	MK Dons	26	12	8	6	48:28	20	44
6	Cambridge Utd	25	12	8	5	30:20	10	44
7	Notts Co	25	12	6	7	38:27	11	42
8	Chesterfield	26	10	11	5	42:35	7	41
9	Colchester	25	10	9	6	39:28	11	39
10	Crewe	26	11	6	9	42:34	8	39
11	Grimsby	25	10	7	8	36:30	6	37
12	Oldham	25	8	11	6	26:20	6	35
13	Barnet	25	9	8	8	32:27	5	35
14	Gillingham	25	8	11	6	34:30	4	35
15	Fleetwood	25	9	7	9	33:32	1	34
16	Accrington	25	9	6	10	27:28	-1	33
17	Tranmere	26	8	8	10	40:42	-2	32
18	Cheltenham	26	9	3	14	26:43	-17	30
19	Barrow	25	6	6	13	27:38	-11	24
20	Shrewsbury	25	5	7	13	22:41	-19	22
21	Bristol Rovers	25	6	3	16	21:45	-24	21
22	Crawley	26	4	7	15	29:47	-18	19
23	Harrogate	26	4	6	16	19:41	-22	18
24	Newport	25	4	5	16	26:46	-20	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League