Crawley Town vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

League Two - Round 4
Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.66
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
8	11
Passes
64% (183/287)	60% (150/248)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.26	1.57
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
9	13
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
8	11
Touches in opposition box
25	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	22
Passes
64% (183/287)	60% (150/248)
Long passes
28% (20/71)	29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
47% (48/102)	52% (60/115)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	1.26
Throw-ins
21	28
Fouls
22	11
Tackles
80% (8/10)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
62	70
Clearances
49	54
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	5
xGOT faced
1.57	1.26
Goals prevented
0.57	0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Tomlinson J. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
45+3', McKirdy H. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 0, Adeyemo A. ⚽, McKirdy H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Williams J. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
53', Flint J. 🟨,
54', Gilbey A. 🟨,
59', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
65', Collar W. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Offord L. ⚽, Jones G. (A),
72', Anderson M. 🟨,
78', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
81', Tshimanga K. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
81', McKirdy H. ↓, Flower L. ↑,
84', Adeyemo A. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
85', Watson L. ↓, Brown R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crawley Town
23.5%

Draw
24.5%

Milton Keynes Dons
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

26.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.8%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.62)	3.79 ↑ (3.54)	1.8 ↓ (1.99)	7.1% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 3.
Crawley is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, MK Dons is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Crawley: Showunmi T. (Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury) Pereira D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Inactive)
We predict that MK Dons will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Crawley Town?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

11.05.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 1:5

07.05.2024 Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0

29.12.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 2:0

15.08.2023 Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1

Latest results of Crawley Town

16.08.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town 1:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Swansea City - Crawley Town 3:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Crawley Town - Newport County 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺

25.07.2025 Crawley Town - Crystal Palace 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

16.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 5:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 0:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	13	8	2	3	19:12	7	26
2	Swindon	13	8	1	4	24:19	5	25
3	MK Dons	13	7	3	3	26:13	13	24
4	Grimsby	13	7	3	3	25:15	10	24
5	Gillingham	13	6	4	3	18:12	6	22
6	Chesterfield	13	6	4	3	23:20	3	22
7	Salford	13	7	1	5	18:17	1	22
8	Notts Co	13	6	3	4	23:15	8	21
9	Cambridge Utd	13	6	3	4	16:13	3	21
10	Barnet	13	6	2	5	16:13	3	20
11	Crewe	13	6	1	6	17:16	1	19
12	Fleetwood	13	5	4	4	19:19	0	19
13	Bromley	13	4	6	3	19:17	2	18
14	Colchester	13	4	5	4	21:18	3	17
15	Barrow	13	5	2	6	11:13	-2	17
16	Bristol Rovers	13	5	2	6	14:21	-7	17
17	Oldham	13	3	6	4	10:10	0	15
18	Tranmere	12	3	5	4	20:18	2	14
19	Harrogate	13	4	2	7	15:20	-5	14
20	Accrington	12	3	3	6	11:14	-3	12
21	Shrewsbury	13	3	3	7	10:20	-10	12
22	Cheltenham	13	3	2	8	9:25	-16	11
23	Crawley	13	2	3	8	10:22	-12	9
24	Newport	13	2	2	9	11:23	-12	8

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League