Crawley Town vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 4
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.66
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
811
Passes
64% (183/287)60% (150/248)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.261.57
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
913
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
811
Touches in opposition box
2530
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1122
Passes
64% (183/287)60% (150/248)
Long passes
28% (20/71)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
47% (48/102)52% (60/115)
Crosses
25% (4/16)21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.971.26
Throw-ins
2128
Fouls
2211
Tackles
80% (8/10)47% (7/15)
Duels won
6270
Clearances
4954
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
1.571.26
Goals prevented
0.570.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Tomlinson J. , Nemane A. ,
  • 45+3', McKirdy H. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 1 - 0, Adeyemo A. , McKirdy H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Williams J. , Anderson M. ,
  • 53', Flint J. 🟨,
  • 54', Gilbey A. 🟨,
  • 59', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
  • 65', Collar W. , Hogan S. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Offord L. , Jones G. (A),
  • 72', Anderson M. 🟨,
  • 78', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Leko J. ,
  • 81', Tshimanga K. , Showunmi T. ,
  • 81', McKirdy H. , Flower L. ,
  • 84', Adeyemo A. , Roles J. ,
  • 85', Watson L. , Brown R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
23.5%
Draw
24.5%
Milton Keynes Dons
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 26.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 25.8% 48.8%

Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.98
(3.62)
3.79
(3.54)
1.8
(1.99)
7.1%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.26%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 3.
    • Crawley is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, MK Dons is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Crawley: Showunmi T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury) Pereira D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Inactive)
    • We predict that MK Dons will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 1:5
    07.05.2024 Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0
    29.12.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 2:0
    15.08.2023 Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley23136440:261445
    2Swindon23134637:261143
    3Walsall23134632:211143
    4MK Dons23117544:251940
    5Salford23124733:30340
    6Notts Co23116636:251139
    7Chesterfield23108539:32738
    8Cambridge Utd23108526:19738
    9Fleetwood2397732:29334
    10Colchester2389637:28933
    11Gillingham23711531:26532
    12Barnet2388730:25532
    13Crewe2395934:31332
    14Oldham23710623:18531
    15Grimsby2387834:30431
    16Accrington2386926:26030
    17Tranmere2378837:37029
    18Cheltenham23831221:37-1627
    19Barrow23661125:33-824
    20Crawley23471227:40-1319
    21Shrewsbury23471221:38-1719
    22Bristol Rovers23531518:44-2618
    23Newport23451423:41-1817
    24Harrogate23451418:37-1917

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League