Result
0:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 33
- Referee: Searle I. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (236/349) | 70% (239/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (236/349) | 70% (239/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (28/81) | 33% (24/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (66/122) | 40% (34/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Bajrami G. 🟨,
- 23', Williams J. 🟨,
- 32', Offord L. 🟨,
- 37', Matete J. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Richards L. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 73', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 80', Flint J. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 80', Lolos K. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
- 83', Mellish J. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
- 83', Kelly L. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 87', Gordon K. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
- 90+2', Chapman J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
59.7% | Draw
23% | Crawley Town
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.65) |
4.06 ↑
(3.8) |
5.43 ↑
(4.52) |
6.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milton Keynes Dons will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1.
- MK Dons is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Crawley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Crawley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, MK Dons is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Vassell T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Maguire L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
Malone S.
(Injury)
Russell J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that MK Dons will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Crawley Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town were as follows:
19.08.2025
Crawley Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:1
11.05.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Crawley Town
1:5
07.05.2024
Crawley Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
3:0
29.12.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Crawley Town
2:0
15.08.2023
Crawley Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
