Crema vs Varesina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group B Crema - Varesina
Result
2:2
30/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 33

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Pirola D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Akammadu F. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Pavesi R. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Rosa S. ,
  • 90+7', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Crema
22.8%
Draw
26.2%
Varesina
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 28.1% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 28.2% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crema's form might have worsened.
  • Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varesina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varesina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Crema - Varesina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.98
    (3.24)
    3.46
    (3.23)
    1.78
    (2.07)
    10.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent matches Crema is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Varesina is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Varesina will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Crema won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.7:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crema won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crema - Varesina were as follows:
    17.11.2024 Varesina - Crema 5:2
    24.03.2024 Varesina - Crema 2:0
    12.11.2023 Crema - Varesina 0:1
    Latest results of Crema
    23.03.2025 SantAngelo - Crema 3:0
    09.03.2025 Crema - Breno 6:1
    02.03.2025 Chievo - Crema 0:2
    23.02.2025 Crema - Pro Palazzolo 1:2
    Latest results of Varesina
    09.03.2025 Ospitaletto - Varesina 1:3
    02.03.2025 Varesina - Club Milano 1:0
    16.02.2025 Varesina - Pro Sesto 1:0
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1